A CalMatters data analysis found that Proposition 50—presented by Democrats as a referendum on the Trump administration—attracted significantly more support from California Latinos than Kamala Harris received in her 2024 presidential campaign, signaling potential fracturing of Latino voter support for President Trump.

California Latinos who voted for President Trump in 2024 appear to have shifted their support in a recent state special election, with Proposition 50 outperforming Trump's vote share in precincts with predominantly Latino voters, according to an analysis of 99% of cast votes by CalMatters reporters.