Red Sea shipping disruption is expanding to Indian Ocean lanes, driving energy shipping cost premiums of 18–24%. OPEC+ unilateral cut signals from 3 members are raising supply uncertainty. Energy assets are partially but not fully pricing the disruption risk.
Simultaneous supply disruptions in Chile (license backlog clearing), DRC (cobalt export signals), and Australia (port labor signals) are forming a lithium supply squeeze. EV demand signals remain unaffected. Lithium producers priced at prior-risk levels create a meaningful entry opportunity.