Cross-domain signals67thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT1

NEUTRAL

48Signal Score · /100

606

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑59%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

AF signals are stable with no significant trend. 606 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Critical

965/wk · base 606

Signal trend

59%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

48 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

0/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 33/100Methodology →

Sentiment↑

48/100 · Top 35% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

AF signals are stable with no significant trend. 606 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/20/2026

Kabul reported tensions in Kabul [10 sources]

→ Details

9/104/20/2026

Afghanistan reported tensions in Afghanistan [10 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Comprehensive international sanctions ⚠ No functioning banking system ⚠ Border conflict with Pakistan escalating ⚠ ISKP attacks rising

Structural Risk Indicators

Complete

Debt / GDP

8.0%

% of GDP

Healthy

FX Reserves

16.6 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

-0.8%

% of GDP

Sustainable

Current Account

-40.2%

% of GDP

Alarming

Debt Service

0.3%

% of exports

Manageable

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 606 →

🗳Political12

Afghanistan reported tensions in Afghanistan [10 sources]

sig 8.512 signals

🔍Criminal4

Kabul reported tensions in Kabul [10 sources]

sig 8.54 signals

⚔️Military4

Afghanistan reported tensions in Uruzgan [4 sources]

sig 8.54 signals

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

Loading…

📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 59% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 48 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)0 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total48 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Kabul reported tensions in Kabul [10 sources]✦Afghanistan reported tensions in Afghanistan [10 sources]✦Kabul reported tensions with Suicide Bomber in Kabul [8 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Comprehensive international sanctions ⚠No functioning banking system ⚠Border conflict with Pakistan escalating ⚠ISKP attacks rising

Recent Signals

11/30/2026

6/28/2026

🇦🇫 Afghanistan

Industries

Companies