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Congress & Markets0 trades · 0 bills · 10 markets · 0 hearings

Found 135 results across markets (10), signals (125)

Prediction Markets(10)

99%Will Iván Cepeda Castro finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian pres…kalshi

79%Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential e…kalshi

22%Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the next Colombian presidential election?kalshi

14%Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?polymarket

9%Will the margin of victory for Iván Cepeda in the 2026 Colombian presidential ru…kalshi

5%Will the margin of victory for Iván Cepeda in the 2026 Colombian presidential ru…kalshi

2%Will the margin of victory for Iván Cepeda in the 2026 Colombian presidential ru…kalshi

1%Will the margin of victory for Iván Cepeda in the 2026 Colombian presidential ru…kalshi

1%Will the margin of victory for Iván Cepeda in the 2026 Colombian presidential ru…kalshi

1%Will the margin of victory for Iván Cepeda in the 2026 Colombian presidential ru…kalshi

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125 signals for "Cepeda"

Page 1 of 5

PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia9d ago

Abelardo de la Espriella, a far-right candidate, won the most votes in Colombia's first-round presidential election and advanced to a runoff against left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda. The left-wing coalition has questioned the preliminary results, raising concerns about the election's integrity.

6.5/10·Contracorriente Honduras·Bogota, Cundinamarca

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia10d ago

President Gustavo Petro of Colombia stated on Sunday that he rejects the preliminary election count results showing his preferred candidate, Senator Iván Cepeda, trailing far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella in what appears to be a senatorial race.

6.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional·Bogota, Cundinamarca

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇪🇸Spain 🇮🇳India13d ago

# Translation Days before the first round on May 31st, Colombia reaches the final stretch of a presidential campaign marked by public squares and social media, but with a notable absence: neither Iván Cepeda nor Abelardo de la Espriella have participated in formal debates. Only Paloma Valencia has accepted this scenario of direct confrontation, which has limited public scrutiny of the three candidates with the best chances of defining the country's direction over the next four years. In that context, the statements that Cepeda, De la Espriella, and Valencia have made in interviews, speeches, and social media posts carry greater weight.

6.1/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Oviedo, Asturias

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia14d ago

# Translation Colombia is less than a month away from deciding who will be its President. And it is clear that Gustavo Petro has two cards on the table to maintain his influence: the first is to get Iván Cepeda elected as his successor or, if he fails in that attempt, his bet is on the Constituent Assembly. They are already collecting signatures and aim to present them on July 20th itself, when the new Congress of the Republic takes office.

6.1/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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CriminalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇮🇳India14d ago

# Translation Former president Álvaro Uribe Vélez made reference to presidential candidate Iván Cepeda, from the Historic Pact, following a death threat he received during a live broadcast. In it, it reads: "Let's kill (sic) Uribe, let's set off a bomb where they are gathered". The former president uploaded a screenshot of the comment and wrote: "Thank you, Cepeda".

6.1/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia14d ago

# Translation Throughout this week, prior to the first-round elections this Sunday, new questions emerged regarding alleged political participation by President Gustavo Petro. Particularly, regarding a message he posted on his official X account, in which he showed and mentioned Cepeda's campaign closing event from Barranquilla. The message sparked immediate criticism, especially because public officials—and in particular the President of the Republic—cannot participate in politics or directly endorse a candidate.

6.1/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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EconomicCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇮🇷Iran14d ago

# Translation Although security remains one of the most discussed topics in this electoral contest, the country continues to ask itself whether candidates are really understanding the type of violence Colombia faces today or whether they continue proposing recipes designed for a country that no longer exists. Or they are stuck in mere tough-on-crime discourse, promises of authority, and offers of languid peace. This is one of the main warnings from a recent analysis by the Foundation for Ideas for Peace (FIP), which reviewed the security proposals of the five aspirants currently leading the presidential race: Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, Paloma Valencia, Sergio Fajardo, and Claudia López.

6.1/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia10d ago

Colombia will hold a presidential runoff on June 21 between Iván Cepeda, a candidate backed by President Gustavo Petro and son of a slain senator, and Abelardo de la Espriella, a lawyer and far-right figure making his political debut. Sunday's first-round vote produced no majority winner, forcing the two-candidate decision.

6.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional·Bogota, Cundinamarca

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇴🇲Oman 🇵🇦Panama13d ago

The State Council ordered President Gustavo Petro to refrain from disseminating electoral propaganda in favor of or against political movements, concluding that the president violated the "political neutrality restrictions that protect public servants." The decision, adopted by the Fifth Section of the high court, overturned a ruling by the Administrative Court of Cundinamarca and set a limit on the use of institutional settings and social networks for proselytizing purposes. Learn: The power of the Petro Government overflowing to help Cepeda in elections with these 10 measures The ruling responds to a Compliance Action presented by the Foundation for the Rule of Law (FEDE Colombia), which sued both the president and the Administrative Department of the Presidency (DAPRE). According to the organization, from personal social media accounts and official Government spaces, a "repeated and systematic" strategy of political promotion of the Historical Pact project and discrediting of opposition sectors had been developing in the midst of the electoral environment.

5.7/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Ibague

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia13d ago

# Translation The national registrar, Hernán Penagos, strongly urged all political sectors in the country to acknowledge and peacefully abide by the official data that will be issued when the polls close for the presidential elections next Sunday, May 31st. You may be interested in: Improper political involvement by Ambassador Iván Velásquez? Cepeda announced him as his 'anti-corruption czar' The official emphasized this Thursday, May 28th, that all competing organizations have had full guarantees, both technical and operational, for the development of the voting, which will be the second of the electoral year.

5.7/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalCrisis🇻🇦VA 🇨🇴Colombia13d ago

From the Hotel Ópera, in downtown Bogotá, presidential candidate Iván Cepeda announced this Thursday the arrival of former minister and former magistrate Iván Velásquez to his political project, amid the presentation of a proposal to create a National Anti-Corruption System. But the announcement, far from going unnoticed, unleashed questions about possible improper political participation by the current Colombian ambassador to the Vatican. During the event—in which there was no space for questions from journalists, although it was called a press conference—Cepeda assured that his eventual administration would promote a "frontal fight against macro-corruption" and revealed that Velásquez would be in charge of directing the new anti-corruption system in a possible government of the Historic Pact.

5.7/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia14d ago

# Translation Just days before the elections, Ivan Cepeda's presidential campaign became the center of controversy due to the holding of several large gatherings that have raised questions about a possible violation of electoral restrictions. According to Colombian law, starting one week before the elections, no events of a campaigning nature can be held in public squares, nor can electoral polls be published. However, in recent days various meetings and activities related to the candidate's campaign have come to light.

5.7/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia10d ago

Colombia will hold a presidential runoff on June 21, 2026, between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda, after they received the most votes in the May 31 first round. The polarized matchup highlights sharp ideological divisions within the country.

5.5/10·Confidencial (Nicaragua — Spanish)·Bogota, Bogotá

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia14d ago

"Colombia has had candidates who wanted to be philosopher presidents as Plato, the Greek, wanted. Macron told me in French that he was a philosopher president, I think that is an opportunity not Platonic but real," Petro recently said, also referring to Iván Cepeda, the ruling party's candidate. That has not been his only participation in politics.

5.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia22d ago

Colombian presidential candidate Iván Cepeda announced he has filed a complaint with the Attorney General's Office alleging that armed group dissident factions are pressuring and coercing voters ahead of the May 31st presidential elections. Speaking from Popayán, Cepeda stated that FARC dissident factions operating in Guaviare, Cauca, Meta, and Caquetá are using intimidation tactics, controlling identification systems, and threatening voters to influence electoral outcomes. The allegations follow claims by former president Álvaro Uribe that armed groups are forcing rural communities to vote for Cepeda, and corroborating reports from rival candidates Paloma Valencia and Claudia López of similar voter intimidation occurring across multiple municipalities.

5.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Popayan, Cauca

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia23d ago

Now the dissidents of the FARC commanders for "Calarcá" are carnalizing the peasants in departments such as Guaviare, Meta and Caquetá, in this way they control where they move, if they pay extortion and even who they vote for. It is a very large alert, because a week ago an audio that unleashed the alert was known through networks and that said: "I hope comrade Cepeda wins, jugpuerca, because there we are going to squeeze them 4 years". Initially it was identified as alias Rogelio Benavides, dissident of the FARC, specifically of the group led by alias Calarcá, currently a fugitive from Justice.

5.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia13d ago

# Translation The National Electoral Council (CNE) asked presidential candidates to refrain from holding meetings in open spaces. The decision comes after the calls made by Iván Cepeda, supposedly in private spaces, to conduct politics on the Caribbean coast. According to Colombian law, starting one week before the elections, no events of a campaigning nature can be held in public plazas, nor can electoral polls be published.

5.3/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇦🇷Argentina 🇨🇴Colombia14d ago

# Translation Presidential candidate Iván Cepeda's campaign received two complaints at the CNE for mass events held on the Caribbean Coast this week. It should be noted that since Sunday, a ban on campaigning in public spaces has been in effect, although the campaign could argue that these are private political coordination meetings. Informed sources told this newspaper that, in this case, the CNE has little or nothing to do, because the restrictions stem from a public order decree from the National Government.

5.3/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Cordoba

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Supply ChainUpdate🇨🇴Colombia6d ago

Más se demoraron en conocerse los resultados de las elecciones del domingo pasado, en las que salió derrotado Iván Cepeda y el proyecto político de Gustavo Petro, que en que el mismo mandatario saliera a denunciar “fraude” en su cuenta de X. Las más recientes revelaciones del periodista Daniel Coronell, que analizó los metadatos del documento con el que Petro denunció el supuesto engaño, muestran que no habría sido fraude sino un montaje. Dos cosas distintas.

4.9/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia7d ago

The leftist candidate Ivan Cepeda called US President Donald Trump’s endorsement of his far-right rival, Abelardo de la Espriella, as “somewhat interventionist” and urged respect for Colombia’s sovereignty. In a press statement, Cepeda accused his opponent of taking “unpatriotic actions aimed at having foreign governments intervene to determine the outcome of our election.” De la Espriella […] The post Cepeda says far-right rival “poses serious risk to democracy” in response to Trump endorsement appeared first on Colombia News .

4.7/10·Colombia Reports

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia14d ago

# Translation The president of the National Electoral Council (CNE), Cristian Quiroz, spoke out on the controversy that has arisen around recent campaign activities conducted by presidential candidate Iván Cepeda, amid the electoral restrictions in effect during the week prior to elections. According to the magistrate's explanation, so far the electoral court has not planned to study or open proceedings related to these events, despite questions that have emerged from various political sectors and on social media. However, according to journalist Darcy Quinn, the National Electoral Council would be preparing a warning, not as such a determinative decision, but rather "a call to all campaigns to comply with the law." The controversy originated after images and videos emerged in recent days of several mass gatherings organized by Cepeda's campaign.

4.7/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia14d ago

# Translation With a negative balance, President Gustavo Petro's government will end its record in the education sector. A cross-reference of official data, independent institutions, and think tanks over the last four years shows stagnation in indicators for school dropout rates, illiteracy, connectivity, and infrastructure. Despite this, the president and his candidate, Iván Cepeda, have made education one of their main platforms.

4.7/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia4d ago

Iván Cepeda es un hombre de pocos amigos y causas de largo aliento. La defensa durante 30 años de las víctimas del Estado y la cruzada judicial de más de 10 años en contra de Álvaro Uribe, no solo lo definen sino que han ocupado buena parte de su historia. Más allá de ese retrato, que ya conoce el país, hay detalles menos conocidos de su vida personal.

4.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia9d ago

Iván Cepeda, a prominent leftist politician close to Colombian President Gustavo Petro, withdrew accusations of electoral irregularities on Monday and accepted first-round results showing far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella in the lead—a result that contradicted pre-election voter surveys.

4.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional·Bogota, Cundinamarca

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PoliticalUpdate🇨🇴Colombia11d ago

Colombia's leading presidential candidates—Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia—are conducting campaign rallies with heightened security protocols, including armored shields, bulletproof glass, and government-provided protection, signaling concerns about candidate safety during the electoral period.

4.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

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