Mondelez faces unprecedented cocoa cost inflation with futures at multi-decade highs eroding chocolate category margins. Pricing actions are causing elasticity in European chocolate where consumer pushback is visible at retailer level. Biscuits portfolio more defensive. Hedging program provides 12-month protection but rolling forward at higher prices. Risk-reward skewed negative until cocoa supply normalizes (likely 2027+).
Thesis reviewed May 29, 2026
Mondelez International Inc. is headquartered in United States, which is currently showing moderate signals.
πΊπΈUnited States60NEUTRALView United States risk detail βπConsumer22NEUTRAL| Ticker | Company | Score | Gap | Signal Ξ | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIS | The Walt Disney Company | 27 | +12% | β2% | EARLY |
| PDD | PDD Holdings Inc | 27 | -4% | β2% | AVOID |
| MCD | McDonald's Corporation | 27 | +7% | β2% | NEUTRAL |
| JD | JD.com Inc | 27 | +13% | β2% | EARLY |
| NIO | NIO Inc | 27 | -10% | β2% | AVOID |
| LI | Li Auto Inc | 27 | +7% | β2% | NEUTRAL |
| TM | Toyota Motor Corporation | 27 | +12% | β2% | EARLY |
Investors who hold MDLZ may also have indirect exposure through these country funds.
Cocoa futures stay above $10,000/ton, fourth consecutive quarter
Mondelez Europe chocolate volume -8% as price elasticity bites
Estimates Β· Yahoo Finance Β· Not audited figures
| Politician | Party | Type | Amount | Trade Date | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Sell | $1kβ$15k | Mar 27, 26 | ||
| Julie JohnsonTX | D | Buy | $1kβ$15k | Dec 18, 25 | +7.7% |
| Rick LarsenWA | D | Buy | $1kβ$15k | Jan 7, 26 | +7.8% |
| John Boozman | Sell | $1kβ$15k | Jul 31, 25 | +1.1% | |
| John JamesMI | R | Buy | $1kβ$15k | Sep 4, 24 | -14.3% |
| John JamesMI | R | Sell | $1kβ$15k | Mar 5, 24 | -10.1% |
| John JamesMI | R | Buy | Unknown amount | Sep 2, 24 | -10.1% |
| Jared MoskowitzFL | D | Buy | $1kβ$15k | Feb 1, 24 | -9.2% |
| Jared MoskowitzFL | D | Buy | $1kβ$15k | Jul 5, 24 | -5.7% |
| Jared MoskowitzFL | D | Buy | $1kβ$15k | Jul 1, 24 | -5.7% |