Mondelez faces unprecedented cocoa cost inflation with futures at multi-decade highs eroding chocolate category margins. Pricing actions are causing elasticity in European chocolate where consumer pushback is visible at retailer level. Biscuits portfolio more defensive. Hedging program provides 12-month protection but rolling forward at higher prices. Risk-reward skewed negative until cocoa supply normalizes (likely 2027+).
Thesis reviewed May 29, 2026
Mondelez International Inc. is headquartered in United States, which is currently showing elevated risk signals.
🇺🇸United States82EXITView United States risk detail →🛍Consumer22NEUTRAL| Ticker | Company | Score | Gap | Signal Δ | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIS | The Walt Disney Company | 27 | +12% | ↑2% | EARLY |
| COST | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 27 | +9% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| MAR | Marriott International Inc. | 27 | +9% | ↑2% | EARLY |
| ROST | Ross Stores Inc. | 27 | +8% | ↑2% | EARLY |
| HD | The Home Depot Inc. | 27 | +13% | ↑2% | EARLY |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica Inc. | 27 | +6% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| PM | Philip Morris International Inc. | 27 | +15% | ↑2% | EARLY |
Investors who hold MDLZ may also have indirect exposure through these country funds.
Cocoa futures stay above $10,000/ton, fourth consecutive quarter
Mondelez Europe chocolate volume -8% as price elasticity bites
Estimates · Yahoo Finance · Not audited figures
| Politician | Party | Type | Amount | Trade Date | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin HernOK | Buy | $1k–$15k | Aug 5, 26 | ||
| Julie JohnsonTX | Buy | $1k–$15k | Oct 30, 25 | ||
| Alan Armstrong | Sell | $1k–$15k | Mar 27, 26 | ||
| Julie JohnsonTX | D | Buy | $1k–$15k | Dec 18, 25 | +7.7% |
| Rick LarsenWA | D | Buy | $1k–$15k | Jan 7, 26 | +7.8% |
| John Boozman | Sell | $1k–$15k | Jul 31, 25 | +1.1% | |
| John JamesMI | R | Buy | $1k–$15k | Sep 4, 24 | -14.3% |
| John JamesMI | R | Buy | Unknown amount | Sep 2, 24 | -10.1% |
| John JamesMI | R | Sell | $1k–$15k | Mar 5, 24 | -10.1% |
| Jared MoskowitzFL | D | Buy | $1k–$15k | Feb 1, 24 | -9.2% |
| Jared MoskowitzFL | D | Buy | $1k–$15k | Jul 1, 24 | -5.7% |
| Jared MoskowitzFL | D | Buy | $1k–$15k | Jul 5, 24 | -5.7% |