Side-by-side country risk comparison
| Metric | 🇺🇸 United States | 🇨🇳 China |
|---|---|---|
| Debt / GDP | 142.1%↑ | 126.8%↓ |
| Fiscal Deficit | -3.1% GDP↑ | -6.4% GDP↓ |
| Current Account | -3.6% GDP↓ | 2.8% GDP↑ |
| FX Reserves |
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Two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth directly defines a technical recession, the core trigger for deep-recession scenario.
https://openwatch.io/compare?a=US&b=CN11.9mo |
Fed rate cuts of 10×25bps in 2026 directly resolve on the total number of cuts the Federal Reserve implements during the calendar year, matching the core trigger of a cut-cycle-pause scenario driven by inflation and poli
North Korea commencing military offensive against South Korea directly instantiates the sustained-provocation-cycle escalating to kinetic conflict on the Korean Peninsula.
Stagflation before 2026 midterms explicitly names the scenario condition; combines inflation and unemployment to measure the exact macroeconomic trap driving fed policy reversal.
Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization is the direct outcome measure of a tanker-incident corridor stress scenario. Disruption and recovery timeline directly reflects the severity and duration of the incident.
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