← Conviction Board
country

Canada

Conviction55
Sources2
OSINT signals8
History pts30

Canada

country
55thin · 2 src2 of 6 signals alignedScored Jul 25, 2026

Signal breakdown

The why behind the score
🏛 Congressionalno data
🏦 Insiderno data
🎯 Prediction mktno data
🌍 Country risk85%
📋 Lobbyingno data
📡 OSINT55%
📜 Contract demandno data

Conviction history

Last ~30 daily snapshots
Jun 21, 2026 · 4830 snapshotsJul 29, 2026 · 55

Country risk

OpenWatch posture
🇨🇦 Canada69/100
Posture: neutralView Canada →

OSINT evidence

Top recent signals

Prediction-market divergence

Mentioning this country
  • 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?43pp
  • Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.0 billion USD on April 1, 2027?35pp
  • Will Canada become more authoritarian in 2026?30pp
  • Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.5 billion USD on April 1, 2027?16pp
  • Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?12pp
  • Will Canada pass a Warrantless mass data collection law, as part of Bill C-22, in 2026?10pp
v·3485b22