Conviction57
Sources2
OSINT signals8
History pts30

China

country
57thin · 2 src2 of 6 signals alignedScored Jul 29, 2026

Signal breakdown

The why behind the score
🏛 Congressionalno data
🏦 Insiderno data
🎯 Prediction mktno data
🌍 Country risk91%
📋 Lobbyingno data
📡 OSINT55%
📜 Contract demandno data

Conviction history

Last ~30 daily snapshots
Jun 21, 2026 · 6230 snapshotsJul 29, 2026 · 58

Country risk

OpenWatch posture
🇨🇳 China72/100
Posture: neutralView China

OSINT evidence

Top recent signals

Prediction-market divergence

Mentioning this country
  • Will China unban Google before 2033?57pp
  • Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 900 USD/t on August 31, 2026?47pp
  • Will China's total Eu exports for June 2025–July 2026 exceed 220000 kg? 44pp
  • Will China invade Taiwan before 2029?43pp
  • Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?43pp
  • Will China polysilicon production for 2027 exceed 1500 kt?42pp
3485b22