Conviction Board
country

Ukraine

Conviction67
Sources2
OSINT signals8
History pts30

Ukraine

country
67thin · 2 src2 of 6 signals alignedScored Jul 28, 2026

Signal breakdown

The why behind the score
🏛 Congressionalno data
🏦 Insiderno data
🎯 Prediction mktno data
🌍 Country risk75%
📋 Lobbyingno data
📡 OSINT91%
📜 Contract demandno data

Conviction history

Last ~30 daily snapshots
Jun 21, 2026 · 6730 snapshotsJul 29, 2026 · 67

Country risk

OpenWatch posture
🇺🇦 Ukraine67/100
Posture: neutralView Ukraine

OSINT evidence

Top recent signals

Prediction-market divergence

Mentioning this country
  • Will the war in Ukraine end before the Iranian war?49pp
  • Will Ukraine regain control of the whole of Kherson region by 2028?45pp
  • Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 months of his inauguration?41pp
  • Will Trump stop selling ammunition for Ukraine?41pp
  • Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? 29pp
  • Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?27pp
3485b22