Conviction Board
country

South Africa

Conviction57
Sources2
OSINT signals8
History pts30

South Africa

country
57thin · 2 src2 of 6 signals alignedScored Jul 29, 2026

Signal breakdown

The why behind the score
🏛 Congressionalno data
🏦 Insiderno data
🎯 Prediction mktno data
🌍 Country risk87%
📋 Lobbyingno data
📡 OSINT59%
📜 Contract demandno data

Conviction history

Last ~30 daily snapshots
Jun 21, 2026 · 6030 snapshotsJul 29, 2026 · 49

Country risk

OpenWatch posture
🇿🇦 South Africa70/100
Posture: neutralView South Africa

OSINT evidence

Top recent signals

Prediction-market divergence

Mentioning this country
  • Will India overtake South Africa in GDP per Capita by EOY 2030?41pp
  • Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?37pp
  • U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?28pp
  • Will South Africa's PGM output decline exceed 5% YoY in 2025?13pp
3485b22