Conviction Board
tickerbullish

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)

Conviction58
Sources2
Congress 90d2
Insider 90d0
Contracts8
Lobbying8
History pts30

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)

ticker Bullish
58thin · 2 src2 of 6 signals alignedScored Jul 29, 2026
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Signal breakdown

The why behind the score
🏛 Congressional81%
🏦 Insiderno data
🎯 Prediction mkt62%
🌍 Country riskno data
📋 Lobbyingno data
📡 OSINTno data
📜 Contract demandno data

Conviction history

Last ~30 daily snapshots
Jun 21, 2026 · 5430 snapshotsJul 29, 2026 · 55

Congressional evidence

Last 90 days
  • sell Dan Newhouse$1K–$15K · Jul 10, 2026
  • buy Gilbert Cisneros · Jun 10, 2026

Insider evidence

No insider transactions filed in the last 90 days.

Federal contract evidence

Top awards
  • 🛡Department of Defense$1694.8M · Sep 12, 2019
  • 🛡Department of Defense$1274.1M · Apr 1, 2016
  • 🛡Department of Defense$317.1M · Sep 1, 2020
  • 🛡Department of Defense$311.3M · Dec 11, 2018
  • Department of Defense$163.5M · Mar 1, 2023
  • Department of Health and Human Services$135.6M · Aug 2, 2021
  • Department of Defense$57.3M · Sep 1, 2024
  • Department of Defense$54.4M · Mar 8, 2022

Lobbying evidence

Last 2 years
  • CONSTITUTION PARTNERS$100K · 2026
  • BOCKORNY GROUP, INC.$40K · 2026
  • NORTH AMERICAN ELECTRIC RELIABILITY CORPORATION · 2026
  • GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS SOLUTIONS, LLC$80K · 2026
  • SMITH GARSON$40K · 2026
  • BALLARD PARTNERS$40K · 2026
  • CAPITOL PILLAR LLC$80K · 2026
  • OGR$40K · 2026

Prediction-market divergence

Cross-platform divergence
  • Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?56pp
  • Will we fully interpret a GPT-2 level language model by 2028?55pp
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?48pp
  • Will Squadron 42 be commercially released by end of December 31, 2026?46pp
  • Will a practically useful cryptographic program obfuscation scheme be invented before 2035?45pp
  • Will the annually averaged global mean near-surface temperature in 2026 be 1.5°C above the 1850–1900 average ?35pp
3485b22