Conviction Board
tickerbullish

Morgan Stanley (MS)

Conviction38
Sources2
Congress 90d1
Insider 90d0
Contracts3
Lobbying8
History pts30

Morgan Stanley (MS)

ticker Bullish
38thin · 2 src2 of 6 signals alignedScored Jul 29, 2026
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Signal breakdown

The why behind the score
🏛 Congressional37%
🏦 Insiderno data
🎯 Prediction mkt62%
🌍 Country riskno data
📋 Lobbyingno data
📡 OSINTno data
📜 Contract demand100%

🛡 100% defense

Conviction history

Last ~30 daily snapshots
Jun 21, 2026 · 4530 snapshotsJul 29, 2026 · 35

Congressional evidence

Last 90 days
  • buy Dan Newhouse$1K–$15K · Jul 10, 2026

Insider evidence

No insider transactions filed in the last 90 days.

Federal contract evidence

Top awards
  • Department of Defense$43.6M · Feb 21, 2019
  • Department of Homeland Security$15.1M · Sep 1, 2025
  • Department of Defense$12.7M · Feb 8, 2023

Lobbying evidence

Last 2 years
  • VENTURE GOVERNMENT STRATEGIES, LLC (FKA HOBART HALLAWAY & QUAYLE VENTURES, LLC)$50K · 2026
  • CAPITOL COUNSEL LLC · 2026
  • LANGLEY CONSULTING, LLC$10K · 2026
  • CROSSROADS STRATEGIES, LLC$60K · 2026
  • MORGAN STANLEY & CO. LLC$1.2M · 2026
  • RICH FEUER ANDERSON$50K · 2026
  • CASSIDY & ASSOCIATES, INC.$30K · 2026
  • CAPITOL TAX PARTNERS, LLP$50K · 2026

Prediction-market divergence

Cross-platform divergence
  • Will Pentagon get $200 billion in funds for the Iran War before the 2026 midterms?50pp
  • Will AI be better every human at proving Math theorems by the end of 2030?49pp
  • Before 2027, will LLMs be able to play videogames in real time?43pp
  • How many House and Senate seats will Dems control after the 2026 midterms?37pp
  • Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 202734pp
  • Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura27pp
3485b22