Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?68pp
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?65pp
Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?55pp
Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026?55pp
Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM. 51pp
Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by June 30, 2027?49pp