Cross-domain signals27thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT0

NEUTRAL

48Signal Score · /100

465

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑53%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

GT signals are stable with no significant trend. 465 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Elevated

712/wk · base 465

Signal trend

53%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

48 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

0/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 33/100Methodology →

Sentiment↓

48/100 · Top 35% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

GT signals are stable with no significant trend. 465 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/23/2026

Paramilitary Force reported tensions in Guatemala [10 sources]

→ Details

8/104/23/2026

Illegal Immigrant carried out physical assault in Guatemala [7 sources]

→ Details

Structural Risk Indicators

Complete

Debt / GDP

29.6%

% of GDP

Healthy

FX Reserves

7.4 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

-0.6%

% of GDP

Sustainable

Current Account

-0.6%

% of GDP

Stable

Debt Service

1.8%

% of exports

Manageable

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 465 →

🔍Criminal10

Reports of coercive pressure in Guatemala [4 sources]

sig 6.610 signals

🗳Political5

Paramilitary Force reported tensions in Guatemala [10 sources]

sig 6.95 signals

⚔️Military3

Illegal Immigrant carried out physical assault in Guatemala [7 sources]

sig 7.63 signals

📌Disaster1

Orange notification for tropical cyclone THREE-E-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0 (12.734 million in Tropical Storm).. From 08/06/2026 to 08/06/2026, a Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 93 km/h) THREE-E-26 was active in Atlantic.

sig 7.01 signal

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

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📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 53% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 48 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)0 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total48 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Paramilitary Force reported tensions in Guatemala [10 sources]✦Illegal Immigrant carried out physical assault in Guatemala [7 sources]✦Illegal Immigrant carried out physical assault in Guatemala [7 sources]

Recent Signals

11/30/2026

6/27/2026

🏳 GT

Industries

Companies