Risk intelligence for Israel
AI-matched prediction markets — agree or disagree, the decision is yours. Clicking opens the provider's site.
NATO Article 5 invocation is the explicit trigger for kinetic retaliation cycle following state-sponsored cyber attack on critical infrastructure. Market directly measures the defined escalation threshold.
Israel signals are stable with no significant trend. 1765 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.
Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.
1 company not shown — bearish sector posture
IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026
Iran has announced plans to close the Strait of Hormuz following military strikes by Israel and the United States on February 28, according to Iranian statements. The closure would block one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints and represents a major escalation in regional hostilities.
A speculative or fictional account describes Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei being killed in a combined US-Israeli military strike, leaving the country without clear leadership three months later. The text is incomplete and does not establish whether this represents actual reporting, analysis, or fiction.
Loading…
1 additional company suppressed — their industry is currently REDUCE/AVOID/EXIT. Why?
NATO Article 5 invocation before end of 2026 captures the same geopolitical escalation event that would signal kinetic retaliation following cyber attack attribution and self-defence claims.
Ransomware campaigns targeting critical infrastructure like pipelines cause widespread disruption and harm. Colonial Pipeline ransomware attack exemplifies scenario where coordinated cyber event materially impacts popula
Sabotage-induced power outage in U.S. megacity maps directly to critical-infrastructure cyber attack causing multi-week regional outage; resolves on similar CISA/emergency-response triggers.
AI-driven cyber attack on critical systems triggers NATO/UN emergency protocols; cyber event on industrial/infrastructure targets aligns with CISA reporting and escalatory outage scenarios.
For entertainment and research purposes only. OpenWatch tracks trends and signals — not real-time prices. Data updates every 4 hours. We do not recommend any position. All wager decisions are solely your responsibility.
Markets are matched to OpenWatch scenarios by an AI worker that runs every 4 hours. New markets and price changes may not be reflected immediately.