Cross-domain signals57thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT1

NEUTRAL

55Signal Score · /100

16

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↓19%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

North Macedonia signals are stable with no significant trend. 16 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

High

13/wk · base 16

Signal trend

19%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

54.6 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

20.6/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 53.6/100Methodology →

Sentiment↑

54.6/100 · Top 35% of 303 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

North Macedonia signals are stable with no significant trend. 16 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

8/104/24/2026

Skopje carried out physical assault in Kisela Voda [10 sources]

→ Details

7/104/27/2026

Skopje issued threats in Skopje [10 sources]

→ Details

⚠ EU accession blocked by Bulgaria veto ⚠ Demographic decline -0.5% annual ⚠ Energy/electricity import deficit

Structural Risk Indicators

Complete

Debt / GDP

53.8%

% of GDP

Healthy

FX Reserves

4.6 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

-0.7%

% of GDP

Sustainable

Current Account

-3.0%

% of GDP

Stable

Debt Service

9.6%

% of exports

Manageable

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Sep 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 16 →

🔍Criminal9

Junta applied coercive pressure in Macedonia [8 sources]

sig 6.79 signals

⚔️Military8

Skopje carried out physical assault in Kisela Voda [10 sources]

sig 7.38 signals

🗳Political3

Security Force engaged in clashes in Skopje [10 sources]

sig 6.53 signals

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

Loading…

📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↓ 19% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 55 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)21 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total55 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Skopje carried out physical assault in Kisela Voda [10 sources]✦Skopje issued threats in Skopje [10 sources]✦Skopje issued threats in Skopje [10 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠EU accession blocked by Bulgaria veto ⚠Demographic decline -0.5% annual ⚠Energy/electricity import deficit

Recent Signals

9/11/2026

9/10/2026

9/9/2026

🇲🇰 North Macedonia

Industries

Companies