Cross-domain signals53thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT1

NEUTRAL

48Signal Score · /100

534

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑78%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

NZ signals are stable with no significant trend. 534 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Critical

949/wk · base 534

Signal trend

78%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

48 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

0/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 33/100Methodology →

Sentiment↓

48/100 · Top 45% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

NZ signals are stable with no significant trend. 534 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/20/2026

Reports of tensions in Burnham [10 sources]

→ Details

9/104/20/2026

Aotearoa reported tensions in Claudelands [10 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Dairy export concentration to China ⚠ Household balance sheets still recovering ⚠ Small market depth limits institutional flow

Structural Risk Indicators

Partial

Debt / GDP

54.8%

% of GDP

Healthy

FX Reserves

3.2 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

+0.3%

% of GDP

Sustainable

Current Account

-2.9%

% of GDP

Stable

Debt Service

—

% of exports

No Data

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

ENZLiShares MSCI New Zealand ETF100% · Single-country VEAVanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF~2% weight · Broad EM/DM

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 534 →

🗳Political13

Aotearoa reported tensions in Claudelands [10 sources]

sig 8.513 signals

⚔️Military7

Reports of tensions in Burnham [10 sources]

sig 8.57 signals

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

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📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 78% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 48 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)0 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total48 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Reports of tensions in Burnham [10 sources]✦Aotearoa reported tensions in Claudelands [10 sources]✦Turkey reported tensions in New Zealand [10 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Dairy export concentration to China ⚠Household balance sheets still recovering ⚠Small market depth limits institutional flow

Recent Signals

6/28/2026

🇳🇿 New Zealand

Industries

Companies