Risk intelligence for TJ
TJ signals are stable with no significant trend. 45 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.
Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.
IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026
European Commission reported tensions in Dushanbe [5 sources]
Sanctioned entity: GULMUROD KHALIMOV. Program: Al-Qaida. Reason: Syria-based military expert, member and recruiter of Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant, listed as Al-Qaida in Iraq (QDe.115).
A magnitude 5.1 earthquake occurred in Tajikistan on March 6, 2026, at shallow depth with potential exposure to approximately 120,000 people within 100 kilometers of the epicenter.
Reports of conflict in Tajikistan [10 sources]
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