LIVERAW MARKETS

All Prediction Markets

Browse markets collected from Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi, and PredictIt — unfiltered and unsorted by scenario

Total markets17,834
Polymarket5,395
Manifold11,662
Kalshi476
PredictIt301
← Scenario-matched wagers

Showing top 500 by volume. Use filters to narrow.

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Showing 500 of 500 markets
Polymarket13h ago

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

33% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Owen McCarthy win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

0% YES
Polymarket3d ago

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

100% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "Be Naughty" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

10% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?

89% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from offi…

21% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

3% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?

10% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in…

18% YES
Polymarket6d ago

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

31% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026?

10% YES
Manifold13h ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

30% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

51% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

89% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?

54% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

11% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?

16% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

42% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

2% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?

31% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will i get a girlfriend by the end of 2026?

43% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?

14% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?

17% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

66% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

0% YES
Manifold11h ago

Senate parliamentarian overruled before 2028 election?

14% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?

63% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will David Jones win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

2% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

83% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

4% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

14% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?

11% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

28% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?

9% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

19% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will actor Timothy Busfield be acquitted of all charges related to the child ac…

50% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

8% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will a particular friend of mine get a girlfriend at math camp?

15% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before Decemb…

4% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

82% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

8% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?

14% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dogecoin reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026?

16% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

15% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033?

41% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

2% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the…

42% YES
Manifold13h ago

Did I miss IMO by 0.2 points?

96% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?

14% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "Posts I don't have time to write" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's…

11% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

36% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?

0% YES
Polymarket6d ago

Will EDEK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Russia control Konstantinovka by the end of November 2026?

41% YES
Polymarket6d ago

Will KOSP win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Anthropic introduces a individual subscription beyond the 20x Max plan before J…

5% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

65% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

4% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

9% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Gooner get huzz in senior year?

38% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?

87% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

21% YES
Manifold11h ago

Will Nord Stream resume operations by 2026?

5% YES
Polymarket6d ago

Will DIPA win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

0% YES
Polymarket6d ago

Will VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?

12% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027?

13% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

30% YES
Manifold13h ago

US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?

23% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?

22% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?

39% YES
Polymarket6d ago

Will ADK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?

5% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the …

3% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

65% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

89% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?

8% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

39% YES
Manifold13h ago

Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same catego…

18% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will a quantum computing CEO go to jail before 2030?

45% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will "Personality Self-Replicators" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 202…

12% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will AI find vulnerabilities that couldn't have been found by an elite human re…

56% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?

27% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?

14% YES
Manifold13h ago

On June 1, will I still think the current Anthropic model is the best for reaso…

49% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?

31% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

10% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

On June 1, will I still think the current Grok model is the best for web search?

54% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?

17% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will a cure for fibromyalgia exist by 2036?

35% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will any member of the US Armed Forces die in Greenland in 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?

22% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Rivian R2 earn IIHS Top Safety Pick+?

48% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026?

9% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp?

25% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

6% YES
Manifold17h ago

Will Razib Khan OR Cremieux be mentioned in a South park episode by 2030?

18% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

4% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?

6% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

11% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?

50% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will there be a second breach of Mythos by EOM May 2026?

22% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?

8% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will John Myrick win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

2% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

28% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

6% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?

5% YES
Manifold11h ago

Will I be able to take a waymo between manhattan and any other state or borough…

20% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary elect…

0% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will "It Is Reasonable To Research How To Use Model..." make the top fifty post…

10% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will NVDA close below $200 on Friday, June 5, 2026?

19% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Fed abolished before 2027?

3% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

11% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?

23% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?

5% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?

36% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?

32% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?

12% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Melissa Agard win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

13% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guin…

37% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

92% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?

7% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will any Wild Card team play in either NFL conference championship game?

52% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will SPY close below $700 on Friday, June 5, 2026?

22% YES
Polymarket13h ago

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly…

6% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s A…

3% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Claude Code be available on the Pro plan on June 1?

96% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

3% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030?

69% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?

42% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Remote IPO before 2027?

23% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

14% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026?

17% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will rapper d4vd receive the death penalty?

26% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

8% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Databricks IPO before 2027?

20% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?

1% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?

14% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?

31% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Kweon Seong-dong win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?

9% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?

49% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League…

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Alexander Isak be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier Leagu…

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Joao Pedro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League se…

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Hugo Ekitike be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League …

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

59% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?

80% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?

14% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

38% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Aster dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?

35% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

3% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

83% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will there be an assassination attempt on David Baszucki before 2027?

20% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

24% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

2% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the Tasmanian Tiger / Thylacine be confirmed alive by the end of 2030?

15% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

13% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

28% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?

11% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?

54% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the New York City Pied-à-Terre Tax Pass in 2026?

85% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

2% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-11-30?

50% YES
Polymarket13h ago

New Half-Life game by June 30?

31% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30

4% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?

45% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

2% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "Quality Matters Most When Stakes are Highest" make the top fifty posts in…

14% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "If a room feels off the lighting is probably ..." make the top fifty post…

12% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jennifer Gútierrez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Lincoln Restler be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?

14% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?

4% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Karl Racine win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Phil Mendelson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Bo Biteman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m squar…

29% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

23% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?

5% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Gonzalo Garcia be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Marcus Rashford be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Brian Schwalb win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Sandy Nurse be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

33% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Tiffany Cabán be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Exit 8 be nominated for an Oscar in any category?

35% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Yuh-Line Niou be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Daniel Raba be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Iago Aspas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

12% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Cristhian Stuani be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?

9% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will George Hotz ever own a zettaflop?

45% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Siberian Node’s generative pipeline render traditional Hollywood studio pr…

15% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Cameron Kasky be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Chip Neiman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will CRWV270115C00140000 expire in-the-money?

40% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?

8% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Amanda Septimo be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Moldova hold a referendum on unification with Romania by the end of 2027?

34% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

1% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Vorcaro be in prison by end of 2026?

20% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0042 by December 31, 2026?

23% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dalourny Nemorin be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

2% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Moise Kean be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Ademola Lookman be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

0% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Ubuntu be sued in Brazil?

13% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will there be a UK General Election in 2029?

70% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will MNX hire a quant trader before June?

14% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Anthropic's API uptime fall below 98% in 2026?

43% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?

1% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Riccardo Orsolini be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Gianluca Scamacca be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Sebastian Korda be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will John Cappello be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

0% YES
Polymarket7d ago

Will Edin Dzeko be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will my Jura C9 coffee maker survive five years?

63% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?

5% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty post…

15% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will CRWV271217C00200000 expire in-the-money?

50% YES
Manifold13h ago

2026 FIFA World Cup Mega-Market: Final (TBD beats TBD)

51% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will there be a UK General Election in 2028?

19% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?

91% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?

27% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local electio…

98% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Brian King be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

1% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will there be a UK General Election in 2026?

5% YES
Manifold11h ago

Will "You’re probably overestimating how well you u..." make the top fifty post…

14% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

81% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

77% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?

51% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will I do chores for 25 minutes daily in 2026?

48% YES
Manifold11h ago

Will India launch a human into Earth orbit before the end of 2028?

19% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?

46% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Nvidia launch an RTX 5090 Ti, Titan, or equivalent flagship GPU before 202…

48% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

13% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

72% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?

55% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

2% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alex Michelsen be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will AI psychosis make it into the DSM6?

21% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

10% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

3% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Taylor Darling be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?

3% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Charlie Hermosa win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Douglas Moylan win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?

27% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will John Beccia be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

3% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will I learn to solve a Rubik's Cube blindfolded?

55% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

11% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Manifold11h ago

Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

93% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "Incriminating misaligned AI models via distil..." make the top fifty post…

14% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Anthony Hudson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Tallon Griekspoor be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Brooke Pinto win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Manifold11h ago

Nathan Cofnas wins his free speech case?

86% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general…

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will William Null win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?

44% YES
Manifold13h ago

Is Tyrion Lannister a Targaryen?

23% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Rick Jakious be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

22% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?

97% YES
Polymarket12h ago

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

89% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Ryan Walters win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

35% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Zachary Parker win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

0% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will a manifold.markets website be blocked in Brazil in 2026?

3% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

21% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?

11% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?

14% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Donald J. Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives before Jan 20…

55% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Marin Čilić be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

0% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will a social network be blocked in Brazil in 2026?

63% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?

28% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jennifer Jenkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?

40% YES
Manifold17h ago

Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?

29% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

19% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?

7% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

16% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2…

60% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046?

66% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

3% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025?

13% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Amie Baca-Oehlert be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

1% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Championship?

44% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will a functioning Golden Ratio integration in Unreal Engine 5 be published by …

33% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

3% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Dominick Pangallo be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will John Szemler be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

90% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

3% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?

93% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Liudmila Samsonova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Beth Andres-Beck be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

2% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will there be many more cyber vulnerabilities in 2027 due to AI?

72% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

4% YES
Polymarket6d ago

Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?

12% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

87% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

22% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Fed rate hike in 2026?

32% YES
Manifold12h ago

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

57% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

1% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?

6% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

4% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029?

57% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Israel attack Iraq in 2028?

26% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Nicolaus Sleister be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

22% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory?

7% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will SpaceX complete a Starship integrated test flight reaching orbital inserti…

1% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?

41% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?

14% YES
Manifold13h ago

Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?

57% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?

7% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial dur…

35% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

30% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

2% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Ekaterina Alexandrova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Peter Magyar be a liberal in his first year in office?

53% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?

97% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will I buy gasoline for more than $5/gallon this year (USA)

37% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

6% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?

12% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will a bright comet be observed in the northern hemisphere before 2030?

41% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will NVDA close above $230 on Friday, June 5, 2026?

35% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?

31% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in …

12% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Olga Danilović be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Kathleen Riebe be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

Platypus considered threatened by IUCN before 2030?

55% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

81% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Apple mention OpenAI or ChatGPT in its WWDC 2026 keynote?

24% YES
Manifold11h ago

Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]

25% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 an…

3% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will I be a finalist in the 2026 ACX book review contest?

11% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Beatriz Haddad Maia be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

71% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 an…

34% YES
Manifold13h ago

LLMs have consciousness [Convince the Machine #14]

34% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 an…

16% YES
Manifold17h ago

Will "The Most Forbidden Technique" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 202…

27% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Elise Mertens be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Manifold13h ago

If I try to replace the battery in my Motorola Edge, will I succeed?

75% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

21% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?

7% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will cancellations at CDG exceed 100/day average over the week of June 7-13?

25% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Jelena Ostapenko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Jenny Wilson be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Luz Escamilla be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Anna Kalinskaya be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

48% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 m…

9% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?

34% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?

60% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

0% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

1% YES
Manifold11h ago

3x3x3 Rubik's Cube solved by video generation model by EOY 2026?

14% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Curacao make it to the next round in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

8% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Thomas Massie say Trump should be impeached before the end of 2026?

19% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the DC Circuit rule for Anthropic on the merits in the Pentagon supply cha…

55% YES
PredictIt13h ago

Which party will win the 2026 US House election in New York's 17th District?

87% YES
PredictIt13h ago

Who will win the 2026 Georgia Republican nomination for governor?

79% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will there be a physical protest at YouTube headquarters before 2028?

58% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will SpaceX market cap be higher 1 year after IPO?

66% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will I get accepted to MIT class of 2031?

84% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

44% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?

43% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the US lift its naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

13% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30,…

36% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?

2% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

0% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?

62% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Vitalik Buterin appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

9% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?

18% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

1% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) b…

98% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat?

22% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Megan Rodriguez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

0% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive yea…

98% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?

1% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the U.S. officially lift/issue a formal waiver on sanctions for any Chines…

4% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?

47% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

67% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

1% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will I get a girlfriend before I finish Vakil?

33% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

55% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

11% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the…

15% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?

3% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open?

1% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Liv Golf shut down in 2026?

78% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?

62% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?

45% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?

17% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

25% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

51% YES
Manifold12h ago

Kurdistan will become a state in 2029

17% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

7% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

5% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

1% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will "New LessWrong Editor! (Also, an update to our..." make the top fifty post…

6% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

2% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?

74% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the folding iPhone include “iPhone” in the name?

92% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in Les…

90% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?

12% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Anthropic publicly name a new Project Glasswing participant before July 1,…

59% YES
Manifold13h ago

If Andy Burnham wins a by-election, will he become PM before the next GE?

87% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

2% YES
Polymarket13h ago

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

21% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the White House drop more lofi beats?

37% YES
Manifold12h ago

The United States federal gov will institute a Selective Service Draft by End o…

8% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6% YES
PredictIt13h ago

Will Congress override a veto in 2026?

7% YES
PredictIt13h ago

Will Keir Starmer remain British prime minister through 2026?

15% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will gwern attend Progress Conference 2026 ?

45% YES
Manifold12h ago

Can Thomas Tuchel's new tactics overcome historical pressure and break England'…

11% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

1% YES
Manifold12h ago

Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 se…

20% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm e…

1% YES
Polymarket12h ago

Will the Republican Party win the TX-18 House seat?

20% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will the finding of high WASF3 in ME/CFS (Hwang,PNAS, 2023) be successfully rep…

31% YES
Manifold13h ago

Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028?

13% YES

Market data collected every few minutes from Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi, and PredictIt. Prices reflect the provider's YES price — not OpenWatch forecasts.

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