Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·9ff387e

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

1 result for "State Security" · Health+Criminal+Political+Military · Resolution

Page 1 of 1

MilitaryResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸

United States

12d ago

Lebanon and Israel agree to extend ceasefire for 45 days Lebanon welcomed a 45-day extension of the ceasefire with Israel following two days of negotiations in Washington, even as Israeli attacks continued across Lebanon, killing at least 11 people on Wednesday. In a statement shared by the Lebanese presidency, Beirut said the renewed truce could ease pressure on civilians and help support stability, while calling for an independent monitoring mechanism and firm guarantees from the United States. The Lebanese delegation said, “The extension of the ceasefire and the establishment of a US-facilitated ‌security track provide critical breathing space for our citizens, reinforce state institutions, and advance a political pathway toward lasting stability.” Israel’s ambassador to the US, Yechiel Leiter, described the negotiations as “frank and constructive”.

5.5/10·Middle East Eye·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →