Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·144b4a7

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

183 results for "Regional" · Health+Supply Chain+Economic+Criminal

Page 1 of 8

HealthCrisis🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇮Ivory Coast

+1

7d ago

Médecins Sans Frontières is responding to an active Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo caused by the Bundibugyo virus, which has no approved vaccine or treatment. As of May 19, 2026, authorities reported over 500 suspected cases and more than 130 deaths, with confirmed cases in North Kivu province including the city of Goma, and two confirmed cases across the border in Uganda. The outbreak is complicated by ongoing regional conflict, displacement, and limited diagnostic capacity.

7.5/10·Doctors Without Borders (MSF)·Goma, North Kivu

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate25d ago

International fertilizer producer warns that regional war and shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz threaten global fertilizer and raw material supplies. The supply disruption could affect up to 10 billion meals weekly worldwide, with disproportionate impact on poor countries and global food production capacity.

7.2/10·BBC Pashto

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman6d ago

More than 160 oil tankers are stranded in the Persian Gulf as Iran tightens its control over the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical energy transit routes and a flashpoint for regional tensions.

6.8/10·Nikkei Asia (NAR feed)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthCrisis25d ago

Unregulated mines in Myanmar's lawless borderlands are poisoning downstream Thai communities through water contamination. Rivers and Rights director Pianporn Deetes discusses the transboundary environmental health impact and identifies Bangkok as having the regulatory authority to address this escalating regional crisis.

6.5/10·The Irrawaddy

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

United States applied coercive pressure in Adobe Dam Regional Park [3 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States29d ago

Reports of conflict in Western Regional Jail [6 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇨🇴Colombia6d ago

Colombia's Air-e electricity distributor, serving 1.3 million customers across three departments, has seen its debt more than double since government intervention 20 months ago, reaching $2.1–3.9 trillion. The company loses over half its purchased energy to illegal connections and unpaid bills, while thermal generators supplying 35% of regional power operate at a loss and face imminent refusal to continue generation. The crisis disproportionately affects low-income populations in the Caribbean region, where 85% of users belong to lower income strata.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Barranquilla, Atlántico

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇳China 🇵🇰Pakistan+218d ago

Iran's actions have disrupted Hormuz shipping lanes, destabilizing Gulf trade and energy markets. China's pre-built corridor infrastructure and strong industrial capacity position it to gain relative advantage, while Pakistan has begun routing transit through Iran via Chinese-built corridors—a shift that redirects regional trade away from traditional UAE ports and consolidates Beijing's influence over critical supply chains.

6.2/10·Oil Price (Energy Intel)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇿🇦South Africa19d ago

The International Monetary Fund has warned that regional economic growth in Africa is expected to contract by 0.3 percentage points, with approximately 20 million people now at risk of food insecurity as the Iran conflict drives up global energy and food prices.

6.2/10·AfricaNews

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis29d ago

The Foreign Investors Council warns that Romania's ongoing political crisis—triggered by the PSD's withdrawal from the governing coalition—threatens economic stability and investor confidence. With 53% of surveyed companies reporting deteriorated legislative predictability and historical FDI sensitivity to policy uncertainty, prolonged instability could reduce annual foreign direct investment inflows from the recent EUR 6-7 billion average, particularly given elevated public debt and regional competitive pressures.

6.2/10·Romania Insider

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇵🇰Pakistan 🇨🇳China19d ago

ISLAMABAD: The Ministry of Finance and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Thursday showed unanimous optimism over economic growth and achieving fiscal and current account targets despite the regional crisis. The development comes amid anticipated approval of disbursements worth over $1.2bn by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Friday and the scheduled visit of another mission for next year’s budget formulation on May 15. Testifying before the National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Finance and Revenue, SBP Governor Jameel Ahmed confirmed that the SBP had purchased about $27bn from the market over the past three years, including $4.5bn so far this year, to boost foreign exchange reserves.

6.1/10·DAWN Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇨🇳China 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine+18d ago

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Beijing on Tuesday for talks with his Chinese counterpart and his “long-time good friend” Xi Jinping, intending to show their ties are unshakeable days after a visit by Donald Trump. The confirmation of Putin’s trip came just hours after Trump wrapped up his visit on Friday, the first by a US president to China in nearly a decade and one aimed at stabilising their turbulent relations. Putin and Xi are set to discuss how to “further strengthen” Russia and China’s strategic partnership and “exchange views on key international and regional issues”, according to a Kremlin statement.

5.7/10·Dawn·Beijing, Beijing

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalCrisis🇲🇽Mexico21d ago

Who Is El Jardinero? By "Karamazov" for Borderland Beat   Audias Flores Silva, a.k.a “El Jardinero,” “Gabriel Raigosa Plascencia,” “Comandante,” “El Bravo 2,” “Audi,” and “Mata Jefes,” is a senior regional commander of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), one of Mexico’s most powerful and violent transnational criminal organizations. He was captured by Mexican security forces during a major military operation in Nayarit on April 27, 2026.

5.7/10·Borderland Beat

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthUpdate🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇬CG6d ago

The UN health agency chief stated Wednesday that the deadly Ebola outbreak affecting the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda poses a high risk at national and regional levels, though it does not currently constitute a global pandemic emergency.

5.5/10·AllAfrica News

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran7d ago

A ceasefire between the United States and Iran has reduced fears of wider regional conflict, but instability around the Strait of Hormuz persists, disrupting global trade, raising energy costs, and exacerbating jobs and cost-of-living pressures worldwide.

5.5/10·UN News·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇰🇷South Korea7d ago

South Korea's Journal of Commerce Index collapsed to its lowest level in a year, raising concerns about the nation's economic trajectory and raising alarm about potential broader regional impacts.

5.5/10·CNBC Indonesia·Seoul, Seoul

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇨🇺Cuba 🇹🇷Turkey9d ago

Roger, a campaign coordinator for political candidate Abelardo de la Espriella, was killed in a motorcycle attack near Cubarral in Meta department, Colombia, after collecting campaign materials in Villavicencio. Authorities are investigating the attack as tensions mount during the electoral period, with the regional governor convening an extraordinary security council to address public order concerns.

5.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Villavicencio, Meta

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainResolution🇧🇳BN 🇰🇭Cambodia 🇮🇩Indonesia+717d ago

ASEAN leaders have agreed to create a shared fuel reserve designed to buffer the bloc against future energy crises. The initiative aims to enhance regional energy security by enabling member states to draw on pooled resources during supply disruptions.

5.5/10·Nikkei Asia

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate18d ago

Recent global market shocks have triggered regional calls for infrastructure resilience measures, including establishment of an integrated power grid and emergency fuel stockpile to buffer against future supply disruptions and economic volatility.

5.5/10·Foreign Policy

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇨🇳China 🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman18d ago

China relies on the Strait of Hormuz for over half of its seaborne crude oil imports, making it acutely exposed to disruptions from Middle East regional conflict. Any escalation that threatens shipping through the strait would directly impact Chinese energy security and industrial output.

5.5/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇫🇯FJ 🇸🇧SB 🇻🇺VU+719d ago

Leaders of Pacific Islands Forum countries have formally invoked the Biketawa Declaration to coordinate a regional response to the global fuel crisis, escalating diplomatic action on energy security.

5.5/10·Radio New Zealand

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate28d ago

Community source expresses concern that port business growth is driven by ongoing regional tensions and disruptions rather than healthy economic fundamentals. Commentary suggests unsustainable business model dependent on conflict rather than stable trade conditions.

5.5/10·The Diplomat

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate355d ago

"The meeting focused on political, economic, trade, humanitarian and other dimensions of Azerbaijani-Russian relations, regional and international security matters of mutual interest, as well as the post-conflict situation in the region," the report said

5.5/10·TASS (English)

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthUpdate🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇬CG6d ago

The World Health Organization stated that an Ebola outbreak affecting the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda poses a serious regional and national threat, though it does not yet constitute a global pandemic emergency.

5.2/10·UN News - Health

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman11d ago

A Greek-managed oil tanker was among only a handful of vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz this week as regional tensions continue to disrupt critical global energy shipping routes.

5.2/10·Greek City Times·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →