No congressional trades in the last 90 days.

• Will ChatGPT or another AI tool be officially integrated into WhatsApp by May 2026?

  manifold · $204.502 vol

  50%

• GPT-6 Will be as or more dissapointing than GPT-5

  manifold · $6.129 vol

  21%

• Do the recent deaths/disappearances of NASA, nuclear research, & defense-related scientists suggest something sinister?

  manifold · $5.184 vol

  22%

• Will a new landlocked country come into being before one disappears?

  manifold · $5.05 vol

  41%

• Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

  manifold · $2.604 vol

  15%

• SAP C_THR83_2505 Exam Success Path

  manifold · $0.22 vol

  50%

• Will "AI pause: the case for ASAP" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

  manifold

  14%

• BALLARD PARTNERS$90K · 2026 first_quarter
  CPI
• CROSSROADS STRATEGIES, LLC$30K · 2026 first_quarter
  ENV
• THORN RUN PARTNERS— · 2026 first_quarter
  BUD
• THORN RUN PARTNERS$40K · 2026 first_quarter
  MMM
• J M BURKMAN & ASSOCIATES— · 2026 first_quarter
  DEF
• ORIGIN ADVOCACY LLC$60K · 2026 first_quarter
  CPITRD
• ETHERTON AND ASSOCIATES, INC.$40K · 2026 first_quarter
  DEFGOV
• CHESAPEAKE BAY FOUNDATION, INC.$22K · 2026 first_quarter
  AGRBUDCAWENV
• MARSHALL & POPP, LLC— · 2026 first_quarter
• CREST HILL ADVISORS LLC$50K · 2026 first_quarter
  CPITEC

No insider transactions filed in the last 90 days.

• General Services Administration$87.4M · Aug 6, 2021
• Department of Defense$16.3M · Jan 18, 2021
• Department of Health and Human Services$14.5M · Dec 30, 2023
• Department of Health and Human Services$13.1M · May 1, 2025