Adobe faces structural competitive pressure from generative AI image and video tools (Midjourney, OpenAI Sora, Runway) while Firefly monetization has been slower than the bull case. Creative Cloud price increases bridge revenue but mask unit growth deceleration. Experience Cloud remains a quiet compounder. The Figma deal abandonment removed M&A optionality. Watch for AI agent integration into Creative workflows as the next leg.
Thesis reviewed May 29, 2026
Adobe Inc. is headquartered in United States, which is currently showing moderate signals.
🇺🇸United States59NEUTRALView United States risk detail →💻Technology23WATCH| Ticker | Company | Score | Gap | Signal Δ | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | 29 | +17% | ↓8% | EARLY |
| NTES | NetEase Inc | 29 | +10% | ↓8% | EARLY |
| SAP | SAP SE | 29 | +8% | ↓8% | EARLY |
| PSO | Pearson PLC | 29 | +10% | ↓8% | NEUTRAL |
| ACN | Accenture plc | 29 | +7% | ↓8% | NEUTRAL |
| WIT | Wipro Ltd | 29 | +6% | ↓8% | NEUTRAL |
| SONY | Sony Group Corporation | 29 | +13% | ↓8% | EARLY |
Investors who hold ADBE may also have indirect exposure through these country funds.
Adobe Firefly generations hit 20B but monetization remains opaque
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Estimates · Yahoo Finance · Not audited figures
| Politician | Party | Type | Amount | Trade Date | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Buy | $1k–$15k | Mar 27, 26 | ||
| Dan NewhouseWA | Buy | $1k–$15k | Jul 10, 26 | ||
| Gilbert CisnerosCA | Sell | $1k–$15k | May 15, 26 | ||
| Donald J. TrumpFL | R | Buy | $500k–$500k | Feb 12, 26 | +9.8% |
| Donald J. TrumpFL | R | Buy | $0k–$5.0M | Feb 10, 26 | +9.8% |
| John Boozman | Buy | $1k–$15k | Sep 4, 25 | +5.3% | |
| Gilbert CisnerosCA | D | Buy | $1k–$15k | Apr 14, 26 | +2.4% |
| John Boozman | Sell | $1k–$15k | Feb 13, 26 | -8.6% | |
| Markwayne Mullin | Buy | $15k–$50k | Feb 4, 26 | -0.6% | |
| Markwayne Mullin | Buy | $15k–$50k | Jan 5, 26 | -7.3% | |
| Julia LetlowLA | R | Buy | $1k–$15k | Oct 16, 25 | -16.4% |
| Julia LetlowLA | R | Buy | $1k–$15k | Jan 24, 25 | -16.4% |
| Markwayne Mullin | Sell | $15k–$50k | Sep 24, 25 | -24.6% | |
| Markwayne Mullin | Buy | $15k–$50k | Jan 2, 24 | -23.4% | |
| Markwayne Mullin | Buy | $15k–$50k | May 13, 25 | -37.2% | |
| Markwayne Mullin | Sell | $15k–$50k | Apr 8, 25 | -34.5% | |
| Marjorie Taylor Mrs GreeneGA | R | Buy | $1k–$15k | Dec 24, 24 | -41.9% |
| Marjorie Taylor Mrs GreeneGA | R | Buy | $1k–$15k | Nov 20, 24 | -48.6% |
| Thomas H Tuberville | Sell | $15k–$50k | Oct 29, 24 | -48.5% | |
| Greg LandsmanOH | D | Buy | Unknown amount | Aug 14, 24 | -50.9% |