Conviction71
Sources2
OSINT signals8
History pts30

Israel

country
71thin · 2 src2 of 6 signals alignedScored Jul 28, 2026

Signal breakdown

The why behind the score
🏛 Congressionalno data
🏦 Insiderno data
🎯 Prediction mktno data
🌍 Country risk91%
📋 Lobbyingno data
📡 OSINT87%
📜 Contract demandno data

Conviction history

Last ~30 daily snapshots
Jun 21, 2026 · 7030 snapshotsJul 29, 2026 · 71

Country risk

OpenWatch posture
🇮🇱 Israel73/100
Posture: neutralView Israel

OSINT evidence

Top recent signals

Prediction-market divergence

Mentioning this country
  • Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?66pp
  • Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?64pp
  • Will Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?57pp
  • Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?56pp
  • Will Israel attack Iraq in August 2026?55pp
  • Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict?52pp
3485b22