Cross-domain signals30thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT0

NEUTRAL

56Signal Score · /100

1093

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑22%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

Sweden signals are stable with no significant trend. 1093 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Critical

1335/wk · base 1093

Signal trend

22%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

56.4 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

8.4/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 41.4/100Methodology →

Sentiment↓

56.4/100 · Top 35% of 303 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities(3)

Industrials↓6% sig29WATCH

Defense↓85% sig100WATCH

Telecom↑1% sig29NEUTRAL

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities(4)See all →

SAABSaab AB🇸🇪↓85% sigENTRY ERICTelefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson🇸🇪↑1% sigEARLY SAND.STSandvik AB🇸🇪↓6% sigEARLY SDVKYSandvik AB🇸🇪↓6% sigEARLY

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

Sweden signals are stable with no significant trend. 1093 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/22/2026

Assailant reported tensions in Trollhattan [10 sources]

→ Details

9/104/21/2026

Reports of tensions in Sweden [4 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Commercial RE deleveraging tail ⚠ Household debt sensitivity to any rate reversal

Structural Risk Indicators

Partial

Debt / GDP

36.6%

% of GDP

Healthy

FX Reserves

—

months import cover

No Data

Fiscal Balance

-0.7%

% of GDP

Sustainable

Current Account

+4.8%

% of GDP

Stable

Debt Service

—

% of exports

No Data

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Sep 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

EWDiShares MSCI Sweden ETF100% · Single-country VGKVanguard FTSE Europe ETF~5% weight · Broad EM/DM VEAVanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF~3% weight · Broad EM/DM

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 1093 →

🗳Political10

Assailant reported tensions in Trollhattan [10 sources]

sig 8.510 signals

⚔️Military10

Reports of tensions in Sweden [30 sources]

sig 8.410 signals

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

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📈 Key stocksAll →

▲ Opportunities

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 22% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 56 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)8 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total56 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Assailant reported tensions in Trollhattan [10 sources]✦Reports of tensions in Sweden [4 sources]✦Reports of tensions in Sweden [30 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Commercial RE deleveraging tail ⚠Household debt sensitivity to any rate reversal

Top Company Opportunities

SAABSaab AB

89ENTRY

ERICTelefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson

Recent Signals

9/13/2026

🇸🇪 Sweden

Industries

Companies