Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·1710b6e

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

548 results for "supreme" · Health+Economic+Political+Military+Criminal+Cyber+Supply Chain

Page 1 of 22

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱

Israel

7d ago

Iran's parliament is expected to vote on a bill that would offer 50 million euros in rewards for the murders of US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper, according to an announcement by Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of Iran's National Security Council, on public television. The measure is framed as retaliation for attacks on Iran's nuclear program and the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel7d ago

Days after Israeli airstrikes killed Iran's supreme leader and other senior officials, President Trump publicly suggested that an internal change of leadership in Iran would be preferable, effectively endorsing regime change during an active military conflict.

8.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States8d ago

Following Israeli airstrikes that killed Iran's supreme leader and other top officials, President Trump publicly stated the U.S. prefers that someone "from within" Iran assume leadership. According to reporting, the U.S. and Israel have a particular successor in mind: former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, known for his staunch anti-American and anti-Israeli positions.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault on Delhi in Delhi [6 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in Madhya Pradesh [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in Delhi [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in India [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇳India 🇮🇱Israel+119d ago

Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei has reportedly recovered from severe injuries — including burns and shrapnel wounds — suffered during US-Israeli airstrikes that also killed his father and senior military commanders, and is now personally directing Iran's war strategy and ceasefire negotiations with the United States, communicating exclusively through couriers to avoid surveillance.

7.5/10·Greater Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran Province

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States33d ago

Attorney General issued threats in Virginia Supreme Court [8 sources]

7.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States34d ago

Attorney General issued threats in Virginia Supreme Court [8 sources]

7.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States36d ago

Reports of threats in Virginia Supreme Court [5 sources]

7.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States36d ago

State Supreme Court issued threats in Virginia Supreme Court [6 sources]

7.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States37d ago

State Supreme Court issued threats in Virginia Supreme Court [6 sources]

7.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States30d ago

Reports of threats in Virginia Supreme Court [8 sources]

7.0/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States30d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure on United States in Santa Clara County [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇳🇮Nicaragua31d ago

Supreme Court issued demands in Abuja [5 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States31d ago

Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Washington [10 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States31d ago

Industry applied coercive pressure on Supreme Court in Multnomah [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States31d ago

Manufacturer made demands of Supreme Court in Missouri [10 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States31d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure on United States in Santa Clara County [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States31d ago

Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Kentucky [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇻🇳Vietnam31d ago

Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Vietnam [10 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States32d ago

Reports of conflict in Virginia Supreme Court [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States35d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Connecticut [9 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States35d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure on United States in Manhattan [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →