Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·2f2dd43

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

58 results for "supreme" · Military+Criminal+Economic+Political+Supply Chain · Crisis

Page 1 of 3

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱

Israel

7d ago

Iran's parliament is expected to vote on a bill that would offer 50 million euros in rewards for the murders of US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper, according to an announcement by Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of Iran's National Security Council, on public television. The measure is framed as retaliation for attacks on Iran's nuclear program and the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel7d ago

Days after Israeli airstrikes killed Iran's supreme leader and other senior officials, President Trump publicly suggested that an internal change of leadership in Iran would be preferable, effectively endorsing regime change during an active military conflict.

8.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States7d ago

Following Israeli airstrikes that killed Iran's supreme leader and other top officials, President Trump publicly stated the U.S. prefers that someone "from within" Iran assume leadership. According to reporting, the U.S. and Israel have a particular successor in mind: former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, known for his staunch anti-American and anti-Israeli positions.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in Madhya Pradesh [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault on Delhi in Delhi [6 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in Delhi [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India31d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in India [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran6d ago

Iran's supreme leader has issued a directive prohibiting the export of uranium enriched to near-weapons-grade levels, according to two senior Iranian officials. The order represents a hardening of Tehran's stance on a key demand from the United States in ongoing nuclear negotiations.

6.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States8d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court significantly weakened the Voting Rights Act in an April ruling, reducing federal oversight mechanisms that had protected voting access.

6.5/10·NC Policy Watch

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States26d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical·Cedar City, Utah

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States26d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States28d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Minnesota [6 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇵🇰Pakistan19d ago

Pakistan's Federal Constitutional Court has awarded staff members salaries and allowances far exceeding those of Supreme Court employees—creating pay gaps of up to Rs300,000 (approximately $1,100 USD) per month—while simultaneously asserting exclusive authority over constitutional interpretation. The move deepens a constitutional crisis triggered by the 27th Amendment, which the FCC claims grants it supreme jurisdiction over all constitutional matters, a position the Supreme Court has explicitly rejected as creating an unconstitutional hierarchy.

6.2/10·Dawn·Islamabad, Islamabad Capital Territory

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States19d ago

A federal appeals court ruled Thursday against President Trump's 10% global tariffs, siding with two small businesses and the state of Washington in their legal challenge. The decision marks another judicial defeat for the administration's trade policy, following an earlier Supreme Court strike-down of Trump's emergency tariff authority.

6.2/10·Tennessee Lookout·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States19d ago

<p>For generations, Black Americans fought not merely for the right to cast a ballot, but for that ballot to <i>matter</i>. </p><p>The Voting Rights Act of 1965 was enacted to fulfill that promise — to ensure that political participation produced political power. Today, that promise is being dismantled, district by district.</p><p>The Supreme Court’s <a class="Link" href="https://chicago.suntimes.com/politics/2026/04/29/supreme-court-weakens-voting-rights-act" >ruling last month</a> in Louisiana v.

6.1/10·Chicago Sun-Times

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis22d ago

Iran Conflict Could Help Revive Moribund Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline Executive Summary: The Iran conflict has made completing the moribund Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline (TCP) increasingly attractive. The U.S.–Israeli “Operation Epic Fury” attack against Iran, launched on February 28, upended Persian Gulf hydrocarbon energy exports, severely disrupting global trade. The first airstrikes killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and several senior government and military figures.

6.1/10·Jamestown Foundation

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States20d ago

A federal appeals court ruled Thursday against President Trump's 10% global tariffs, handing a victory to two small businesses and the state of Washington. The 2-1 decision came after the Supreme Court had previously invalidated Trump's emergency tariff authority, leaving his trade agenda facing mounting legal obstacles.

5.8/10·Nebraska Examiner·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇵🇰Pakistan9d ago

ISLAMABAD: Former prime minister Imran Khan on Monday approached the Supreme Court seeking directions his transfer to Islamabad’s Shifa International Hospital, access to his personal physicians, family and counsel, and provision of his medical details to the family. A similar petition was earlier moved before the SC by his sister Dr Uzma Khan who challenged the Islamabad High Court (IHC) ruling to refuse these facilities. In the fresh petition, filed by senior counsel Uzair Karamat Bhandari, the ex-premier urged the apex court to grant leave to appeal against the March 12 order of the IHC.

5.5/10·Dawn·Islamabad, Islamabad

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States18d ago

Civil rights activists and veterans of the 1965 Selma marches have condemned the Supreme Court's decision to weaken the Voting Rights Act, calling it a return to systemic voter discrimination. Sheyann Webb-Christburg, who marched in Selma at age eight, said the ruling amounts to a deliberate attempt to silence voters who fought for the right to vote.

5.5/10·The Guardian World

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil19d ago

Brazil's Supreme Court will review legal challenges to a newly enacted law that reduces sentences for those convicted in connection with the January 8, 2023 attacks on government buildings, after Congress overrode President Lula's veto of the legislation. Justice Alexandre de Moraes — who oversaw the original criminal proceedings — has been named rapporteur and has given the presidency and Congress five days to respond before deciding whether to suspend the law.

5.5/10·Agência Brasil·Brasilia, Distrito Federal

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil19d ago

Major Brazilian corporations have found ways to circumvent a Supreme Court compensation regime established in March for the judiciary and Public Prosecutor's Office. Although the ruling was intended to standardize indemnity payments and enforce constitutional salary limits, it has instead legitimized payments exceeding the constitutional ceiling by 70% for senior judicial officials—a significant loophole in Brazil's legal framework.

5.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇹🇩Chad19d ago

Eight opposition leaders in Chad have been sentenced to eight years in prison while the Supreme Court simultaneously dissolved their anti-Déby political coalition, in a sweeping crackdown on organized dissent against President Mahamat Idriss Déby's government.

5.5/10·AfricaNews·N'Djamena, N'Djamena

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States19d ago

The U.S. Court of International Trade dealt President Trump's trade agenda a major blow Thursday, siding with two small businesses and Washington state in their challenge to his 10% global tariffs. The 2-1 decision came after the U.S. Supreme Court had previously struck down an earlier emergency tariff program, suggesting a pattern of judicial skepticism toward the legal basis for the president's unilateral tariff authority.

5.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States20d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court weakened the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President Derrick Johnson addressed members and supporters, ranking the decision among the court's most notorious cases—including Dred Scott, which denied Black citizenship before the Civil War, and Plessy, which upheld segregation.

5.5/10·Tennessee Lookout

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States20d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court weakened the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President Derrick Johnson addressed members and supporters and compared the ruling to the Court's most infamous decisions, including Dred Scott (which excluded Black Americans from citizenship before the Civil War) and Plessy v. Ferguson (which enshrined racial segregation).

5.5/10·Kansas Reflector

Primary Source ↗Details →