Moody's benefits from a confluence of structural tailwinds: record corporate refinancing volumes through 2027, sovereign downgrade activity rising globally on fiscal stress, and analytics business compounding as compliance and ESG mandates expand. The MIS ratings business has duopoly economics with S&P. Pricing power remains intact. ICE/Bloomberg data-vendor disintermediation worries overdone.
Thesis reviewed May 29, 2026
Moody's Corporation is headquartered in United States, which is currently showing elevated risk signals.
🇺🇸United States82EXITView United States risk detail →🏦Financials100NEUTRAL| Ticker | Company | Score | Gap | Signal Δ | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI | MercadoLibre | 90 | -14% | ↓86% | AVOID |
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. | 90 | +13% | ↓86% | ENTRY |
| BBAR | BBVA Banco BBVA Argentina SA | 90 | +21% | ↓86% | ENTRY |
| BBD | Banco Bradesco S.A. (preferred ADR) | 90 | +5% | ↓86% | NEUTRAL |
| VIV | Telefonica Brasil (Vivo) | 90 | +8% | ↓86% | ENTRY |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | 90 | +17% | ↓86% | ENTRY |
| CIB | Bancolombia S.A. | 90 | +9% | ↓86% | NEUTRAL |
Investors who hold MCO may also have indirect exposure through these country funds.
Global high yield refinancing wall hits record $1.4T through 2027
Moody's downgrades France sovereign, triggering review actions
Analytics segment revenue up 11% YoY on KYC/AML demand
Estimates · Yahoo Finance · Not audited figures
| Politician | Party | Type | Amount | Trade Date | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas H Tuberville | Sell | $1k–$15k | May 3, 24 | +12.8% |