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Prediction Markets Congress Trades

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Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

83 results for "Regional" · Cyber+Health+Political+Economic+Supply Chain+Criminal · Crisis

Page 1 of 4

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States

🇵🇰

Pakistan

+1

9d ago

Pakistan's Interior Minister is conducting emergency mediation in Tehran as US-Iran ceasefire negotiations stall over disputes on nuclear programme, sanctions relief, and regional security. President Trump has warned of renewed strikes if no deal is reached within a limited timeframe, while Iran's Revolutionary Guards threatened confrontation extending beyond the Middle East. Both sides remain locked in hostile rhetoric despite Saudi and Turkish backing for continued talks.

7.8/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil11d ago

Rio de Janeiro police discovered the body of federal judge Alcides Martins Ribeiro Filho, who served on Brazil's Federal Regional Court of the 2nd Region, after he had been missing for more than a month.

7.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Rio De Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

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HealthCrisis🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇮Ivory Coast+111d ago

Médecins Sans Frontières is responding to an active Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo caused by the Bundibugyo virus, which has no approved vaccine or treatment. As of May 19, 2026, authorities reported over 500 suspected cases and more than 130 deaths, with confirmed cases in North Kivu province including the city of Goma, and two confirmed cases across the border in Uganda. The outbreak is complicated by ongoing regional conflict, displacement, and limited diagnostic capacity.

7.5/10·Doctors Without Borders (MSF)·Goma, North Kivu

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan9d ago

The United States and Iran are locked in intensifying diplomatic crisis over Iran's nuclear program, with Pakistan attempting mediation as negotiations stall. President Trump has warned that military action remains an option if talks do not progress within days, while Iran's leadership has refused to remove enriched uranium stockpiles and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has warned that any resumed attacks could trigger regional warfare. Oil prices are rising and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz faces unprecedented disruptions amid the tensions.

7.2/10·Nahar·Washington, District of Columbia

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel9d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered that the country's stockpile of weapons-grade enriched uranium remain within Iran, rejecting a key US demand in peace negotiations. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has stated that any ceasefire agreement must include uranium transfer, elimination of Iranian ballistic missile capabilities, and an end to Tehran's support for regional allied groups—conditions that now appear incompatible with Iran's stated position.

7.2/10·Nahar·Tehran, Tehran

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CyberCrisis🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇺🇸United States11d ago

A drone strike near the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant in the United Arab Emirates has prompted an emergency UN Security Council session in New York. IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi briefed council members as regional nuclear safety concerns escalate.

7.2/10·UN News·New York, Abu Dhabi

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EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman9d ago

More than 160 oil tankers are stranded in the Persian Gulf as Iran tightens its control over the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical energy transit routes and a flashpoint for regional tensions.

6.8/10·Nikkei Asia (NAR feed)·Strait Of Hormuz

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HealthCrisis29d ago

Unregulated mines in Myanmar's lawless borderlands are poisoning downstream Thai communities through water contamination. Rivers and Rights director Pianporn Deetes discusses the transboundary environmental health impact and identifies Bangkok as having the regulatory authority to address this escalating regional crisis.

6.5/10·The Irrawaddy

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States30d ago

United States engaged in clashes in Oxbow Regional Park [8 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States30d ago

United States engaged in clashes in Oxbow Regional Park [8 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

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EconomicCrisis🇨🇴Colombia10d ago

Colombia's Air-e electricity distributor, serving 1.3 million customers across three departments, has seen its debt more than double since government intervention 20 months ago, reaching $2.1–3.9 trillion. The company loses over half its purchased energy to illegal connections and unpaid bills, while thermal generators supplying 35% of regional power operate at a loss and face imminent refusal to continue generation. The crisis disproportionately affects low-income populations in the Caribbean region, where 85% of users belong to lower income strata.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Barranquilla, Atlántico

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PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇨🇺Cuba13d ago

Colombian military and regional authorities report that FARC dissidents operating in Meta and Guaviare departments are beheading citizens and coercing rural voters ahead of the presidential election. The former mayor of Cubarral and his government secretary, who was coordinating a presidential candidate's campaign, were killed in a motorcycle attack. Authorities confirm insurgent groups are forcing residents to register to vote and using violence to control the electorate in southern Meta.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Meta, Meta

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+222d ago

Iran's rhetoric and policies toward Gulf states have sharply escalated, threatening years of regional diplomatic progress amid rising maritime tensions and deepening mutual distrust.

6.2/10·Al-Monitor·Persian Gulf

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EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇳China 🇵🇰Pakistan+222d ago

Iran's actions have disrupted Hormuz shipping lanes, destabilizing Gulf trade and energy markets. China's pre-built corridor infrastructure and strong industrial capacity position it to gain relative advantage, while Pakistan has begun routing transit through Iran via Chinese-built corridors—a shift that redirects regional trade away from traditional UAE ports and consolidates Beijing's influence over critical supply chains.

6.2/10·Oil Price (Energy Intel)·Tehran, Tehran

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EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇿🇦South Africa23d ago

The International Monetary Fund has warned that regional economic growth in Africa is expected to contract by 0.3 percentage points, with approximately 20 million people now at risk of food insecurity as the Iran conflict drives up global energy and food prices.

6.2/10·AfricaNews

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EconomicCrisis33d ago

The Foreign Investors Council warns that Romania's ongoing political crisis—triggered by the PSD's withdrawal from the governing coalition—threatens economic stability and investor confidence. With 53% of surveyed companies reporting deteriorated legislative predictability and historical FDI sensitivity to policy uncertainty, prolonged instability could reduce annual foreign direct investment inflows from the recent EUR 6-7 billion average, particularly given elevated public debt and regional competitive pressures.

6.2/10·Romania Insider

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PoliticalCrisis🇪🇸Spain12d ago

The rise of the lefts at the territorial level could hinder the process of rebuilding the progressive alliance at the state level, and some voices publicly ask to choose the new brand now and the new leadership Forward 'surpasses' Por Andalucía and deepens the crisis of Sumar The overturning in the panorama of the alternative left in Andalusia has once again focused on the weakness of the progressive formations at the state level in the face of the rise of the territorial. The great result of the Andalusians of Adelante, who quadrupled their results and clearly surpassed Por Andalucía, threatens to hinder the process of rebuilding the alliance between IU, Movimiento Sumar, Más Madrid and the Comuns, and the first voices calling for its acceleration have already begun to emerge. And it also puts Podemos in a brete, since the purples aspire to do "tandem" with a Gabriel Rufián who, precisely, proposes that progressive parties at the state level withdraw or, at least, take a back seat in the next general elections in favor of left-wing formations at the regional level.

6.1/10·eldiario.es

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EconomicCrisis🇵🇰Pakistan 🇨🇳China23d ago

ISLAMABAD: The Ministry of Finance and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Thursday showed unanimous optimism over economic growth and achieving fiscal and current account targets despite the regional crisis. The development comes amid anticipated approval of disbursements worth over $1.2bn by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Friday and the scheduled visit of another mission for next year’s budget formulation on May 15. Testifying before the National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Finance and Revenue, SBP Governor Jameel Ahmed confirmed that the SBP had purchased about $27bn from the market over the past three years, including $4.5bn so far this year, to boost foreign exchange reserves.

6.1/10·DAWN Business

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CyberCrisis🇩🇪Germany 🇫🇷France 🇮🇹Italy45d ago

Written by: Jamie Collier, Robin Grunewald Germany has reclaimed its position as a primary focus for cyber extortion in Europe. While data leak site (DLS) posts rose almost 50% globally in 2025, Google Threat Intelligence (GTI) data shows that the surge is hitting German infrastructure harder and faster than its regional neighbors, marking a significant return to the high-pressure levels previously observed in the country during 2022 and 2023. Cyber Criminals Pivoting Back to Germany Germany moved to the forefront of European data leak targets in 2025.

6.1/10·Mandiant Threat Intelligence

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇳India 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel11d ago

India state-fuel retailers raised petrol and diesel prices by less than a rupee per litre on Tuesday, the second increase in a week to recover some losses from high crude prices resulting from the Iran war. After the rise of roughly 0.9 Indian rupees ($0.0093), consumers will pay 98.64 Indian rupees for a litre of petrol in New Delhi and 91.58 Indian rupees for a litre of diesel, dealers said. Prices vary across the country because of regional taxes.

5.7/10·DAWN Business·New Delhi, Delhi

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Supply ChainCrisis🇨🇳China 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine+111d ago

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Beijing on Tuesday for talks with his Chinese counterpart and his “long-time good friend” Xi Jinping, intending to show their ties are unshakeable days after a visit by Donald Trump. The confirmation of Putin’s trip came just hours after Trump wrapped up his visit on Friday, the first by a US president to China in nearly a decade and one aimed at stabilising their turbulent relations. Putin and Xi are set to discuss how to “further strengthen” Russia and China’s strategic partnership and “exchange views on key international and regional issues”, according to a Kremlin statement.

5.7/10·Dawn·Beijing, Beijing

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CriminalCrisis🇲🇽Mexico24d ago

Who Is El Jardinero? By "Karamazov" for Borderland Beat   Audias Flores Silva, a.k.a “El Jardinero,” “Gabriel Raigosa Plascencia,” “Comandante,” “El Bravo 2,” “Audi,” and “Mata Jefes,” is a senior regional commander of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), one of Mexico’s most powerful and violent transnational criminal organizations. He was captured by Mexican security forces during a major military operation in Nayarit on April 27, 2026.

5.7/10·Borderland Beat

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PoliticalCrisis🇹🇷Turkey4d ago

Turkey's Ankara Regional Court of Justice ruled that the Republican People's Party's (CHP) 38th Ordinary Elective Congress was legally invalid due to absolute nullity, potentially undermining the legitimacy of the opposition party's recent internal proceedings.

5.5/10·Daily Sabah (Economy)·Ankara, Ankara

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HealthCrisis🇮🇷Iran8d ago

The Lancet warns that damage to Iran's Pasteur Institute could have regional and international public health consequences, potentially disrupting vaccine production and disease surveillance across the Middle East.

5.5/10·IranWire·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalCrisis🇧🇴Bolivia 🇨🇴Colombia 🇺🇸United States10d ago

Bolivia's government expelled Colombia's ambassador to La Paz on Wednesday, accusing President Gustavo Petro of interfering in its internal affairs after he described ongoing Bolivian protests as a 'popular insurrection.' The diplomatic escalation marks a shift from Bolivia's domestic political crisis—now in its 15th day—into a regional confrontation, with La Paz filing a complaint with the Organization of American States while receiving support from the United States and other regional governments.

5.5/10·MercoPress·La Paz, La Paz

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