Prediction Markets Congress Trades

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·2da2274

Prediction Markets Congress Trades

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

54 results for "Regional" · Cyber+Political+Disaster+Supply Chain · Crisis

Page 1 of 3

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇵🇰

Pakistan

+1

9d ago

Pakistan's Interior Minister is conducting emergency mediation in Tehran as US-Iran ceasefire negotiations stall over disputes on nuclear programme, sanctions relief, and regional security. President Trump has warned of renewed strikes if no deal is reached within a limited timeframe, while Iran's Revolutionary Guards threatened confrontation extending beyond the Middle East. Both sides remain locked in hostile rhetoric despite Saudi and Turkish backing for continued talks.

7.8/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil10d ago

Rio de Janeiro police discovered the body of federal judge Alcides Martins Ribeiro Filho, who served on Brazil's Federal Regional Court of the 2nd Region, after he had been missing for more than a month.

7.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Rio De Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan8d ago

The United States and Iran are locked in intensifying diplomatic crisis over Iran's nuclear program, with Pakistan attempting mediation as negotiations stall. President Trump has warned that military action remains an option if talks do not progress within days, while Iran's leadership has refused to remove enriched uranium stockpiles and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has warned that any resumed attacks could trigger regional warfare. Oil prices are rising and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz faces unprecedented disruptions amid the tensions.

7.2/10·Nahar·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel8d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered that the country's stockpile of weapons-grade enriched uranium remain within Iran, rejecting a key US demand in peace negotiations. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has stated that any ceasefire agreement must include uranium transfer, elimination of Iranian ballistic missile capabilities, and an end to Tehran's support for regional allied groups—conditions that now appear incompatible with Iran's stated position.

7.2/10·Nahar·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

CyberCrisis🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇺🇸United States10d ago

A drone strike near the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant in the United Arab Emirates has prompted an emergency UN Security Council session in New York. IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi briefed council members as regional nuclear safety concerns escalate.

7.2/10·UN News·New York, Abu Dhabi

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis1569d ago

A devastating landslide struck the La Esneda neighborhood of Dosquebradas on February 8, killing 16 residents and injuring 34 others. The disaster was foreseeable—regional environmental authorities had identified the area as high-risk for over 15 years, with warnings documented since 2008 regarding hydrological and geotechnical hazards. Officials acknowledge approximately 2,000 additional homes in similar high-risk zones along the Otún River remain vulnerable, requiring urgent relocation efforts.

7.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis30d ago

Weather extremes are fueling wildfires across tens of thousands of acres across the southeast, including North Carolina. This disaster event threatens multiple sectors through direct property damage, environmental degradation, and cascading impacts on regional infrastructure and services.

6.5/10·The Assembly NC

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States30d ago

United States engaged in clashes in Oxbow Regional Park [8 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States30d ago

United States engaged in clashes in Oxbow Regional Park [8 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇨🇺Cuba12d ago

Colombian military and regional authorities report that FARC dissidents operating in Meta and Guaviare departments are beheading citizens and coercing rural voters ahead of the presidential election. The former mayor of Cubarral and his government secretary, who was coordinating a presidential candidate's campaign, were killed in a motorcycle attack. Authorities confirm insurgent groups are forcing residents to register to vote and using violence to control the electorate in southern Meta.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Meta, Meta

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis🇮🇳India16d ago

A violent thunderstorm with heavy rain and hail swept through Uttar Pradesh, India's most populous state, killing nearly 90 people, according to regional disaster management authorities.

6.2/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Uttar Pradesh

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+221d ago

Iran's rhetoric and policies toward Gulf states have sharply escalated, threatening years of regional diplomatic progress amid rising maritime tensions and deepening mutual distrust.

6.2/10·Al-Monitor·Persian Gulf

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇪🇸Spain11d ago

The rise of the lefts at the territorial level could hinder the process of rebuilding the progressive alliance at the state level, and some voices publicly ask to choose the new brand now and the new leadership Forward 'surpasses' Por Andalucía and deepens the crisis of Sumar The overturning in the panorama of the alternative left in Andalusia has once again focused on the weakness of the progressive formations at the state level in the face of the rise of the territorial. The great result of the Andalusians of Adelante, who quadrupled their results and clearly surpassed Por Andalucía, threatens to hinder the process of rebuilding the alliance between IU, Movimiento Sumar, Más Madrid and the Comuns, and the first voices calling for its acceleration have already begun to emerge. And it also puts Podemos in a brete, since the purples aspire to do "tandem" with a Gabriel Rufián who, precisely, proposes that progressive parties at the state level withdraw or, at least, take a back seat in the next general elections in favor of left-wing formations at the regional level.

6.1/10·eldiario.es

Primary Source ↗Details →

CyberCrisis🇩🇪Germany 🇫🇷France 🇮🇹Italy44d ago

Written by: Jamie Collier, Robin Grunewald Germany has reclaimed its position as a primary focus for cyber extortion in Europe. While data leak site (DLS) posts rose almost 50% globally in 2025, Google Threat Intelligence (GTI) data shows that the surge is hitting German infrastructure harder and faster than its regional neighbors, marking a significant return to the high-pressure levels previously observed in the country during 2022 and 2023. Cyber Criminals Pivoting Back to Germany Germany moved to the forefront of European data leak targets in 2025.

6.1/10·Mandiant Threat Intelligence

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇳India 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel11d ago

India state-fuel retailers raised petrol and diesel prices by less than a rupee per litre on Tuesday, the second increase in a week to recover some losses from high crude prices resulting from the Iran war. After the rise of roughly 0.9 Indian rupees ($0.0093), consumers will pay 98.64 Indian rupees for a litre of petrol in New Delhi and 91.58 Indian rupees for a litre of diesel, dealers said. Prices vary across the country because of regional taxes.

5.7/10·DAWN Business·New Delhi, Delhi

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇨🇳China 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine+111d ago

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Beijing on Tuesday for talks with his Chinese counterpart and his “long-time good friend” Xi Jinping, intending to show their ties are unshakeable days after a visit by Donald Trump. The confirmation of Putin’s trip came just hours after Trump wrapped up his visit on Friday, the first by a US president to China in nearly a decade and one aimed at stabilising their turbulent relations. Putin and Xi are set to discuss how to “further strengthen” Russia and China’s strategic partnership and “exchange views on key international and regional issues”, according to a Kremlin statement.

5.7/10·Dawn·Beijing, Beijing

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇹🇷Turkey3d ago

Turkey's Ankara Regional Court of Justice ruled that the Republican People's Party's (CHP) 38th Ordinary Elective Congress was legally invalid due to absolute nullity, potentially undermining the legitimacy of the opposition party's recent internal proceedings.

5.5/10·Daily Sabah (Economy)·Ankara, Ankara

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇧🇴Bolivia 🇨🇴Colombia 🇺🇸United States9d ago

Bolivia's government expelled Colombia's ambassador to La Paz on Wednesday, accusing President Gustavo Petro of interfering in its internal affairs after he described ongoing Bolivian protests as a 'popular insurrection.' The diplomatic escalation marks a shift from Bolivia's domestic political crisis—now in its 15th day—into a regional confrontation, with La Paz filing a complaint with the Organization of American States while receiving support from the United States and other regional governments.

5.5/10·MercoPress·La Paz, La Paz

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran12d ago

US President Donald Trump warned Iran on Sunday to quickly reach a peace deal or face destruction, as ongoing tensions with Tehran and its regional allies continue to disrupt negotiations, drive up oil prices, and destabilize the Middle East.

5.5/10·France 24 English·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇨🇳China 🇺🇸United States 🇹🇼Taiwan16d ago

Chinese President Xi Jinping warned Donald Trump that Beijing and Washington could enter into conflict if the U.S. mishandles the Taiwan issue. Taiwanese officials responded by characterizing China as "the only risk" to regional peace, marking a significant rhetorical escalation in cross-strait tensions.

5.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Beijing, Beijing

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇬🇧United Kingdom21d ago

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is under mounting pressure from within his own Labour Party following significant electoral losses in local and regional elections across Great Britain. More than 20 Labour MPs have publicly demanded he provide a timetable for his resignation, with the BBC reporting the deadline was set for Friday night. Starmer has so far resisted calls to step down.

5.5/10·ORF English (Austrian Broadcasting)

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis🇮🇷Iran21d ago

Satellite images have detected an oil slick off the island of Charg, pointing to a potential marine spill in a sensitive regional waterway. The extent and source of the pollution remain under investigation.

5.5/10·ORF English (Austrian Broadcasting)·Charg Island

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇹🇷Turkey 🇬🇷Greece 🇨🇾Cyprus+121d ago

Turkey is preparing parliamentary legislation to formally enshrine its maritime claims in disputed waters of the Aegean Sea and eastern Mediterranean, according to Bloomberg reporting. The move risks renewing regional tensions with Greece and Cyprus over control of offshore energy resources and contested sea borders.

5.5/10·Greek Reporter·Aegean Sea

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇷Iran 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia+122d ago

A new analysis argues that Israeli-Gulf normalization efforts, despite being framed as peace-building, effectively set the stage for military confrontation with Iran by reshaping regional alliances and strategic pressures across the Middle East.

5.5/10·Foreign Policy

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇷🇴Romania 🇦🇹Austria 🇴🇲Oman23d ago

Romania's four-party governing coalition faces deepening animosity and political crisis, with Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's recent overthrow triggering currency depreciation to historic lows against the euro and underperformance of government bonds. Austrian financial analysts warn that persistent political instability threatens implementation of EU recovery funds while inflation forecasts have risen to 8%—significantly above the regional average—amid exchange rate depreciation pressures.

5.5/10·Romania Insider·Bucharest, Bucharest

Primary Source ↗Details →