Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·9905253

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

1,985 signals for Economic+Military+Disaster · Resolution

Page 1 of 80

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧

Lebanon

33d ago

Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon killed 47 people, but the conflict has now ended with Israel and Hezbollah reaching a ceasefire agreement, according to a U.S. official.

7.5/10·BBC Pashto·southern Lebanon, South Governorate

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran33d ago

A 100-day military conflict between the United States and Iran has officially concluded, though analysts warn the war and its aftermath have destabilized the broader world order.

7.5/10·The Age·Tehran, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran33d ago

The United States and Iran have signed a memorandum of understanding to end their conflict after more than 100 days of war, with follow-up negotiations planned to address outstanding issues.

7.5/10·Le Monde (English)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran33d ago

The United States and Iran have reached a ceasefire after 15 weeks of conflict that began in February 2025, ending a costly military engagement. Former president Barack Obama told NBC News that despite the war's conclusion, the US is effectively "worse off" than before, having spent billions and suffered significant military strain and casualties with minimal strategic advancement.

7.5/10·The Guardian·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon33d ago

Israel's military and Hezbollah have confirmed a ceasefire agreement expected to take effect this afternoon, ending a period of escalating military operations. The agreement comes after Israeli air strikes on South Lebanon killed at least 47 people and injured 97, according to Lebanon's health ministry.

7.5/10·NRK Nyheter (Norway)·South Lebanon, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States55d ago

A ceasefire has been declared in the military standoff between Iran, Israel, and the United States, described as 'fragile' but representing a pause in direct hostilities. Regional analysts characterize it as a frozen conflict state where underlying grievances persist despite the halt in active fighting.

7.5/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran82d ago

Trump says no need for congressional approval on Iran war after ceasefire

7.4/10·Middle East Eye·Ardakān

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇺🇸United States32d ago

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz have ordered a halt to military attacks on southern Lebanon, coordinated with the United States, though Israeli forces will remain in occupied areas. The decision comes after Israeli operations since early March killed at least 4,057 people and wounded 12,121 in southern Lebanon.

7.2/10·Middle East Eye·Southern Lebanon, Southern Province

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon49d ago

Israel and Lebanon have renewed their ceasefire agreement, originally enacted on April 16. Under the new terms, Hezbollah commits to halting all attacks against Israel, while the Lebanese army assumes full control of demilitarized zones in southern Lebanon. Israel has reserved the right to maintain operational freedom in response to perceived threats.

7.2/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanonyesterday

A US-brokered ceasefire agreement will lead to Israeli forces withdrawing from parts of Lebanon they occupied during fighting with Hezbollah, marking a diplomatic breakthrough between the two sides.

7.0/10·BBC World·Lebanon, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran+233d ago

Israel and the Hezbollah movement reached a ceasefire agreement set to begin Friday afternoon, according to U.S. diplomatic sources. The fighting in Lebanon also prompted the postponement of planned U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for Switzerland.

7.0/10·iRozhlas·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran33d ago

A ceasefire has taken effect between Israel and the Lebanese militia following fatal attacks on both sides, marking a pause in escalating hostilities in the region. Iran had previously threatened severe retaliation, adding urgency to the agreement's role in preventing broader regional conflict.

7.0/10·Handelsblatt (Schlagzeilen)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon33d ago

Israel and Hezbollah reached a ceasefire agreement following escalating violence, after a Hezbollah attack killed four Israeli soldiers in Lebanon and prompted heavy Israeli retaliation overnight.

7.0/10·Les Echos (Monde)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran+133d ago

Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to a ceasefire following deadly clashes in Lebanon, with the agreement confirmed by Israeli military officials. The cessation of hostilities removes a major impediment to ongoing negotiations between Iran and the United States.

7.0/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States74d ago

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed a three-day ceasefire with Russia has been arranged, facilitated by U.S. diplomatic efforts aimed at ending a war that has lasted more than four years.

7.0/10·St. Louis Post-Dispatch

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States+275d ago

President Trump announced a US-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine running May 9–11, with both Zelenskyy and Putin's adviser confirming the agreement, which also includes an exchange of 1,000 prisoners of war per side. The pause coincides with Russia's Victory Day celebrations, though earlier ceasefire attempts this week collapsed almost immediately amid mutual accusations of violations.

7.0/10·Greater Kashmir·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States75d ago

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and former U.S. President Trump confirmed a ceasefire agreement halting all military activity between Russia and Ukraine, with both sides set to exchange 1,000 prisoners each.

7.0/10·Anchorage Daily News

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine 🇺🇸United States75d ago

Russia and Ukraine have agreed to a three-day ceasefire from May 9–11, reached with US mediation, alongside plans to exchange 1,000 prisoners of war — marking one of the most significant diplomatic developments in the conflict in months.

7.0/10·Index.hr

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States75d ago

Ukraine's president confirmed a temporary ceasefire with Russia, brokered by the United States, set to last three days and accompanied by a mutual release of prisoners — the first such agreement to emerge from direct diplomatic engagement in a prolonged and destructive conflict.

7.0/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia75d ago

Ukrainian President Zelensky confirmed a three-day ceasefire with Russia, set to run from May 9 to 11, alongside an agreement to exchange 1,000 prisoners of war — marking one of the most notable pauses in fighting since the full-scale invasion began.

7.0/10·Index.hr

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States75d ago

The US president announced a short-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine running from May 9 to 11, with both sides also agreeing to exchange 1,000 prisoners each — a rare moment of agreement in a conflict now entering its third year.

7.0/10·DW World News

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine 🇺🇸United States75d ago

President Trump announced a three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine spanning May 9–11, calling for a suspension of fighting and the exchange of prisoners, with the broader aim of ending the war.

7.0/10·Index.hr

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States75d ago

President Trump announced a three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine beginning May 9, paired with a prisoner exchange of 1,000 soldiers from each side — marking a notable, if temporary, halt to a war that has ground on for over two years.

7.0/10·France 24 World

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine76d ago

Russia's unilateral ceasefire in the war against Ukraine took effect at midnight on May 8. The Russian Defense Ministry had announced the halt in fighting would last until May 10.

7.0/10·Meduza (English)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran82d ago

Trump tells Congress ceasefire means he does not need their approval for Iran war

6.8/10·BBC World·Nowshahr

Primary Source ↗Details →