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Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Watchlist Dashboard

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Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

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Congress & Markets0 trades · 0 bills · 10 markets · 0 hearings

Found 68 results across markets (10), signals (58)

Prediction Markets(10)

37%Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?polymarket

96%Brazilian president's Supreme Court nomination rejected by Senate?manifold

96%PA Supreme Court justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht retention votes? YES or …manifold

95%Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026manifold

91%Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan s…manifold

73%Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Ga…manifold

69%No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?manifold

65%Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?manifold

64%Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?manifold

60%Clarence Thomas becomes longest serving Supreme Court Justice?manifold

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Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

58 signals for "supreme" · Political+Health+Disaster+Criminal+Supply Chain+Military · Crisis

Page 1 of 3

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran6d ago

U.S. officials told CBS News that Mojtaba Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, is in hiding at an undisclosed location. The report suggests heightened internal security concerns or potential threats to the Iranian leadership.

8.5/10·IranWire

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel10d ago

Iran's parliament is expected to vote on a bill that would offer 50 million euros in rewards for the murders of US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper, according to an announcement by Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of Iran's National Security Council, on public television. The measure is framed as retaliation for attacks on Iran's nuclear program and the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel10d ago

Days after Israeli airstrikes killed Iran's supreme leader and other senior officials, President Trump publicly suggested that an internal change of leadership in Iran would be preferable, effectively endorsing regime change during an active military conflict.

8.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States11d ago

Following Israeli airstrikes that killed Iran's supreme leader and other top officials, President Trump publicly stated the U.S. prefers that someone "from within" Iran assume leadership. According to reporting, the U.S. and Israel have a particular successor in mind: former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, known for his staunch anti-American and anti-Israeli positions.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)

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MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India34d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in Madhya Pradesh [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

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MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India34d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault on Delhi in Delhi [6 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

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MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India34d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in Delhi [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

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MilitaryCrisis🇮🇳India34d ago

Supreme Court carried out physical assault in India [10 sources]

8.2/10·GDELT Events Historical

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel10d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered that the country's stockpile of weapons-grade enriched uranium remain within Iran, rejecting a key US demand in peace negotiations. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has stated that any ceasefire agreement must include uranium transfer, elimination of Iranian ballistic missile capabilities, and an end to Tehran's support for regional allied groups—conditions that now appear incompatible with Iran's stated position.

7.2/10·Nahar·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel10d ago

Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered that the country's near-weapons-grade enriched uranium must remain within Iran, according to senior Iranian sources. The directive contradicts a central US negotiating demand and Israeli assurances from Trump that Iran's weapons-grade stockpile will be removed, complicating ongoing peace talks aimed at ending military hostilities.

7.2/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran9d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader has issued a decree banning the export of enriched uranium, according to Reuters sources within the Iranian government. The move represents a significant shift in Iran's nuclear policy with implications for international negotiations and Middle Eastern security.

6.5/10·Meduza (Russian)

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran10d ago

Iran's supreme leader has issued a directive prohibiting the export of uranium enriched to near-weapons-grade levels, according to two senior Iranian officials. The order represents a hardening of Tehran's stance on a key demand from the United States in ongoing nuclear negotiations.

6.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran10d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a directive prohibiting the export of the country's near-weapons-grade uranium, according to senior Iranian sources. The move represents a significant hardening of Iran's nuclear stance.

6.5/10·Daily Sabah (Economy)

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States10d ago

Iran's supreme leader has ordered that enriched uranium stockpiles remain within Iran rather than be removed, according to two senior Iranian sources. The decision represents a stiffening of Tehran's stance against a key US demand in ongoing nuclear peace negotiations.

6.5/10·Cumhuriyet·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States11d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court significantly weakened the Voting Rights Act in an April ruling, reducing federal oversight mechanisms that had protected voting access.

6.5/10·NC Policy Watch

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States29d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States29d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical·Cedar City, Utah

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States31d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Minnesota [6 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

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PoliticalCrisis🇵🇰Pakistan22d ago

Pakistan's Federal Constitutional Court has awarded staff members salaries and allowances far exceeding those of Supreme Court employees—creating pay gaps of up to Rs300,000 (approximately $1,100 USD) per month—while simultaneously asserting exclusive authority over constitutional interpretation. The move deepens a constitutional crisis triggered by the 27th Amendment, which the FCC claims grants it supreme jurisdiction over all constitutional matters, a position the Supreme Court has explicitly rejected as creating an unconstitutional hierarchy.

6.2/10·Dawn·Islamabad, Islamabad Capital Territory

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PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil 🇺🇸United States3d ago

# Translation The scandals surrounding 'Dark Horse', scheduled to premiere shortly before the October elections, have sunk the candidacy of Bolsonaro's son, who aims to defeat Lula in the ballot Brazil's Supreme Court grants "temporary" house arrest to Jair Bolsonaro Steve Bannon, one of the main ideologues of Trumpism, had an ace up his sleeve to defeat Lula da Silva in next October's elections: a Hollywood-style film about the biography of president Jair Bolsonaro, imprisoned for attempted coup d'état. The Trumpist recipe seemed foolproof. Actor Jim Caviezel, star of The Passion of the Christ (2004, directed by Mel Gibson, a huge success among Christian audiences) would provoke, in Bannon's words, the figure of Jair Bolsonaro to be equivalent to Christ and for the film to be perceived even as a sequel to Mel Gibson's film.

6.1/10·eldiario.es·Hollywood, California

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States23d ago

<p>For generations, Black Americans fought not merely for the right to cast a ballot, but for that ballot to <i>matter</i>. </p><p>The Voting Rights Act of 1965 was enacted to fulfill that promise — to ensure that political participation produced political power. Today, that promise is being dismantled, district by district.</p><p>The Supreme Court’s <a class="Link" href="https://chicago.suntimes.com/politics/2026/04/29/supreme-court-weakens-voting-rights-act" >ruling last month</a> in Louisiana v.

6.1/10·Chicago Sun-Times

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MilitaryCrisis25d ago

Iran Conflict Could Help Revive Moribund Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline Executive Summary: The Iran conflict has made completing the moribund Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline (TCP) increasingly attractive. The U.S.–Israeli “Operation Epic Fury” attack against Iran, launched on February 28, upended Persian Gulf hydrocarbon energy exports, severely disrupting global trade. The first airstrikes killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and several senior government and military figures.

6.1/10·Jamestown Foundation

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PoliticalCrisis🇵🇰Pakistan12d ago

ISLAMABAD: Former prime minister Imran Khan on Monday approached the Supreme Court seeking directions his transfer to Islamabad’s Shifa International Hospital, access to his personal physicians, family and counsel, and provision of his medical details to the family. A similar petition was earlier moved before the SC by his sister Dr Uzma Khan who challenged the Islamabad High Court (IHC) ruling to refuse these facilities. In the fresh petition, filed by senior counsel Uzair Karamat Bhandari, the ex-premier urged the apex court to grant leave to appeal against the March 12 order of the IHC.

5.5/10·Dawn·Islamabad, Islamabad

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States22d ago

Civil rights activists and veterans of the 1965 Selma marches have condemned the Supreme Court's decision to weaken the Voting Rights Act, calling it a return to systemic voter discrimination. Sheyann Webb-Christburg, who marched in Selma at age eight, said the ruling amounts to a deliberate attempt to silence voters who fought for the right to vote.

5.5/10·The Guardian World

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PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil22d ago

Brazil's Supreme Court will review legal challenges to a newly enacted law that reduces sentences for those convicted in connection with the January 8, 2023 attacks on government buildings, after Congress overrode President Lula's veto of the legislation. Justice Alexandre de Moraes — who oversaw the original criminal proceedings — has been named rapporteur and has given the presidency and Congress five days to respond before deciding whether to suspend the law.

5.5/10·Agência Brasil·Brasilia, Distrito Federal

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